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Zag
Tired of his old title
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 Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 4:12 pm Post subject: 121 |
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| Suspence wrote: |
In other words, stay away from the Patriots. This streak is sure to end soon.  |
You do that. It's the one team that stays on my list, no matter what. |
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Suspence
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 4:15 pm Post subject: 122 |
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The way this year is going, you might want to pick the Pats and whoever the Pats are playing for your list.
_________________
I hate people who try to write interesting things in their signature. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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| Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 4:47 pm Post subject: 123 |
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| So far, I have. But only because my spreadsheet says to. |
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Suspence
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 5:44 pm Post subject: 124 |
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I'll understand if you don't want to share the secret to your spreadsheet, but do you just compare a teams offensive PPG vs. the defensive PPG of the team they are matched against?
I've tried that a few times, but I've always ended up with teams (or matchups) that I didn't feel comfortable with in my top 10-15.
_________________
I hate people who try to write interesting things in their signature. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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| Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 6:18 pm Post subject: 125 |
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| It's not all that clever. For each team, I calculate a weighted (PF + opp's PA), where I'm giving the more recent games more weight. Then I sort according to home team values and pick the first N, then visitor team values and pick the first N. I choose N based on where there is a significant gap, and I tend to go a little deeper into the home teams than the visitor teams. |
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Suspence
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2011 7:04 pm Post subject: 126 |
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Sounds pretty clever, actually.
I was once in a Winners Pick 'Em league for several years, then I read Gregg Easterbrook's TMQ column which showed that a simple formula of "better record wins, if records are equal, home team wins" consistently outperformed all ESPN analysts at picking winners. I adopted that method and won the league.
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I hate people who try to write interesting things in their signature. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Fri Oct 14, 2011 3:00 pm Post subject: 127 |
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The NFC North is still interesting.
The Packers should beat the 0 and 4 Rams but the Lions play the 4 and 1 Fortyniners. The tie might be broken.
Week 6 choices are due in fifty hours. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 1:00 am Post subject: 128 |
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| 16 hours. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 1:30 pm Post subject: 129 |
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| 3½ hours. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 6:30 pm Post subject: 131 |
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| The Jaguars, Rams, and Redskins all have 3 points at or near halftime. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 7:52 pm Post subject: 132 |
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| The Jaguars and Redskins have each scored again. The Rams are currently the sole low team, finishing with 3 points. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 9:26 pm Post subject: 133 |
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| In the late games, The Cowboys are low with 3 points in the second quarter. The Viking, Bears, Dolphins, and Jets have yet to start. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 10:09 pm Post subject: 134 |
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| The Cowboys now have 10 points. The sole wipeout team is The Rams with four teams yet to play. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 11:23 pm Post subject: 135 |
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OMG, I'm going to have a heart attack. The Patriots really pulled that one out of the fire. Of course, it just goes to show you -- we have Tom Brady, and you don't.
My chuckling false sympathy to any Cowboys fans out there. |
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Quailman
His Postmajesty
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| Posted: Sun Oct 16, 2011 11:57 pm Post subject: 136 |
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| I can't believe I listed the wrong team in the Dolphins-Jets matchup. Oh well, hopefully they'll outscore the Rams. I toyed with pulling a Dethy and listing everyone but the Rams this week |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Mon Oct 17, 2011 1:09 am Post subject: 137 |
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| The Bears lead The Vikings 16 to 0 at the end of the first quarter. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Mon Oct 17, 2011 1:19 am Post subject: 138 |
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| The Vikings now have 3 points. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Mon Oct 17, 2011 2:19 am Post subject: 139 |
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| Touchdown, Vikings! They now trail The Bears 26 to 10. The Rams are the sole wipeout team again. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 1:26 am Post subject: 140 |
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| Jets 7, Dolphins 6, early in the second quarter. The Rams are the sole wipeout team this week. |
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Quailman
His Postmajesty
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 1:51 am Post subject: 141 |
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| w00t! |
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Suspence
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 2:46 am Post subject: 142 |
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| Suspence after Week 5 wrote: |
An interesting stat for this thread - The Patriots have scored 30+ points in 13 consecutive regular season games, one shy of the record set by the "Greatest Show on Turf" Rams of 1999-2000.
In other words, stay away from the Patriots. This streak is sure to end soon. |
Pats only scored 20 this week. The streak is over.
_________________
I hate people who try to write interesting things in their signature. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 3:35 am Post subject: 143 |
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| Code: |
Week 6 team scores:
Bears 39
Falcons 31
Ravens 29
Bengals 27
Giants 27
Buccaneers 26
Fortyniners 25
Bills 24
Packers 24
Jets 24
Raiders 24
Patriots 20
Saints 20
Eagles 20
Lions 19
Panthers 17
Browns 17
Colts 17
Steelers 17
Cowboys 16
Texans 14
Jaguars 13
Redskins 13
Vikings 10
Dolphins 6
Rams 3
This
Player Week Total
------ ---- -----
Quailman 424 1943
sAbLLimINal 312 1911
Zag 300 1628
ShadowSword 222 1380
JDTAY 255 1369
Undercover Monk 367 1221
Suspence 279 1119
MatthewV 182 793
Jaguar 0 371
dethwing 0 0
519 points were available this week and 4024 points total.
Week 7 choices are due Sunday, October 23 at 1:00 PM EDT. |
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MatthewV
Daedalian Member :_
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 5:27 am Post subject: 144 |
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My new list!
Cowboys
Texans
Chargers
Eagles
Jets
Bears
Titans
Giants
Raiders
Fortyniners
Ravens
Lions
Saints
Patriots
Bills
Packers |
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Suspence
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 12:38 pm Post subject: 145 |
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If I hadn't missed the first week, my "slow and steady" approach would have me right in the mix around 1400.
I guess if I was going to adopt that strategy, I shouldn't have missed a week.
_________________
I hate people who try to write interesting things in their signature. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 12:53 pm Post subject: 146 |
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| Except that NO ONE scored the first week, and it's unlikely you would have, either. The wipeout teams were the Colts, the Chiefs, and the Steelers, all of which looked pretty good in the preseason. |
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Suspence
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 1:52 pm Post subject: 147 |
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I highly doubt I would've taken any of those teams, and I don't think I've taken any of them yet.
Pittsburgh is a defensive team, and they played Baltimore in Week 1. I wouldn't have gone near them.
Indy's starting quarterback had come out of retirement 2 weeks before his first start and has a gray beard...I wasn't touching them either.
KC would have been the interesting one, especially since they were playing the Bills, who everyone assumed would be terrible. Given my slow and steady strategy, I believe I would have avoided them.
Actually, looking back, I was ultra-conservative at the start, so my total points would have been less, therefore I wouldn't be at 1400 anyway. Week 2 I only picked 4 teams.
_________________
I hate people who try to write interesting things in their signature. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sat Oct 22, 2011 3:00 am Post subject: 148 |
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| Week 7 choices are due in 38 hours. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 6:00 am Post subject: 149 |
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| Eleven hours. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 2:30 pm Post subject: 150 |
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| 2½ hours. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 4:40 pm Post subject: 151 |
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| 20 minutes. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 6:32 pm Post subject: 153 |
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| The Broncos, Titans, and Seahawks all have nothing at halftime. The Browns have 3 points. The Buccaneers have 5 points. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 7:28 pm Post subject: 154 |
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| The Titans got a touchdown and The Seahawks got a field goal. The Broncos still have nothing with 7½ minutes left in the game. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 7:50 pm Post subject: 155 |
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| Touchdown, Broncos! The Browns got another field goal. The Seahawks are low at 3 points with 8½ minutes left in the game. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 8:16 pm Post subject: 156 |
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| The Seahawks lost to The Browns 6 to 3. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 9:38 pm Post subject: 157 |
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| The Raiders have nothing at halftime. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 10:42 pm Post subject: 158 |
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| The Raiders still have no points with 11½ minutes left in the game. |
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Chuck
Daedalian Member
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| Posted: Sun Oct 23, 2011 11:19 pm Post subject: 159 |
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| The Raiders were shut out and are now the sole wipeout team with the Colts, Saints, Ravens, and Jaguars yet to play. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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| Posted: Mon Oct 24, 2011 12:04 am Post subject: 160 |
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| The idiots! Well, at least Quail and sAb are shut out, too. |
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