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Winter has begun... (Game over!)
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itisally
Master of Disguise



PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2012 9:28 pm    Post subject: 1121 Reply with quote

I buy that she is a Mason. But I won't vote for the other claims that I happen to belive also. unvote At least that way it wasn't me who screwed up at the last minuet.

Newbs to the best of my knowledge in order of my precives newyness:lol:

ohcapt13
Captin Aniima
Durryn
spyrl
Garou_Kinfolk
itisally
novice

And by new I mean less than 4 games
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novice
No harm. Pun intended!



PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2012 9:35 pm    Post subject: 1122 Reply with quote

Thanks itisally.

Not voting does not relieve you of any responsibility for screwups, btw. It's also anti-town in the sense that we don't know which way you're leaning on the top suspects. So you're denying us information that could be used to catch scum.

Same goes for the other non-voters, of course.
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Undercover Monk
Professor Chaos



PostPosted: Fri Mar 09, 2012 11:34 pm    Post subject: 1123 Reply with quote

not necesarilly novice,

she made it clear she doesnt want to vote either of the two options that in itself is a decision and is just as useful for information gathering purposes. in fact even if itsally is mafia she is helping the town just by posting more than Lucresia is.
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Durryn
Doghouse Dweller



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 12:05 am    Post subject: 1124 Reply with quote

Unvote: Lucresia

I hate this. I believe MNO is town and have believed Deception is scum for ..... Has it been a 6 weeks already?????? Dang!!!!

I can't vote for someone I truly believe is Town and we gain no info from killing MNO. We have to do what is best for the town, that leaves (for me at least) Deception (lots of information to gain), Eleth (some information), and Novice (fair amount of information)


Against my better judgement of town alignment and the fact I would rather lose Deception as a player in the game than MNO Vote: Deception Yes, I know......... But it is time.

Someone summon Ser Ilyn Payne
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Silverfire
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 1:23 am    Post subject: 1125 Reply with quote

Unvote: MNOWAX, Vote: Deception

I no longer have to vote to save Lucresia, so I'm voting for the one I think is scummier.
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Amb
Amb the Hitched.



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 2:51 am    Post subject: 1126 Reply with quote

silverfire wrote:

Yes, Lucresia is a mason. Since I would rather lynch someone who at least has a chance of being scum, Unvote: Deception, Vote: MNOWAX


silverfire wrote:

Unvote: MNOWAX, Vote: Deception

I no longer have to vote to save Lucresia, so I'm voting for the one I think is scummier.


So did I convince you, or did you just get caught playing both sides of the field scum?
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Amb
Amb the Hitched.



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 2:53 am    Post subject: 1127 Reply with quote

... or is this explained by putting MNO ahead in votes ahead of Lucresia to stop a mason being lynched.

Please excuse my last post. THought I had caught something, but I hadn't.
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Deception
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 3:36 am    Post subject: 1128 Reply with quote

Alright, fullclaim tmie:

My role can work as a cop

It can also work as about a dozen other roles

I can PM the mod a true or false statement at night, and get a modconfirmed response.

I will withhold my night 1 investigation.
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Deception
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 3:38 am    Post subject: 1129 Reply with quote

I strongly believe that:

Amb
Durryn
MNOWAX
to be scum

Lower suspicion:
cloudRunner
Jedo

doubt anyone will care, but for posterity, I guess.

dont' forget to check who else picked up on Garou's slip and acted in a similar fashion as me, i dont have time to. it's a town tell.
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spyrl
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 3:57 am    Post subject: 1130 Reply with quote

For the record, Deception, at no point in my post was I accusing you of lying. I was looking for specifics between you and MNO and that statement was one that I found which stuck out. From reading your ISO, I admit you've done a spectacular job of staying within what I would call the grey area of truth, prefacing your statements with I think, I believe, and similar vehicles of making statements that are opinions instead of facts, so this one stuck out strongly since it was something that did not fall into the grey area.

And cloudRunner, I can't be pressured into voting somewhere I don't like, and like others, I don't like either of them as a top candidate for voting right now.
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Durryn
Doghouse Dweller



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:21 am    Post subject: 1131 Reply with quote

I am also not happy with my vote. Especially with all of Deceptions claim. I wish he could live tonight and research me asking if I am mafia.. Or would the question be: T/F Durryn is scum. I honestly hope you survive the day and our Doc targets you, so you can ask about me.


I can't be more succinct in my statement that I am not a member of the mafia.

I am so torn here on who we need to lynch and to be honest I am wavering back and forth. If Deception is being truthful then we will be screwing ourselves by lynching him.

unvote

We HAVE to get votes on someone that will give us information and wont hurt the town. One way would be to lynch Lucresia and that would verify our Mason are true. Very good info in my book. I can't in good conscience vote for MNO or Deception any more, even if Deception is the scummiest townie in this game.

<insert multiple expletives here>

vote: Lucresia She is a lurker lynch and will prove Garou and Silver are telling the truth. minimal damage to the town and maximum information.
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Deception
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:39 am    Post subject: 1132 Reply with quote

I have on very strong authority that the mason claim is legit.

MNO is the only option, Durryn.
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Sentran
Ray of Sucking Funshine



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:51 am    Post subject: 1133 Reply with quote

Day 2, 18 alive, 10 to lynch
Deadline: Now
Official Vote Count
Code:

      Deception (7): Amb, ohcapt13, MNOWAX, cloudRunner, 3iff, Silverfire
         MNOWAX (6): Jedo the Jedi, novice, Elethiomel, Deception, Captin Aniima, Undercover Monk
       Lucresia (1): Durryn
         novice (1): spyrl
-------------------------
     Not voting (4): Lucresia, Zag, Garou_Kinfolk, itisally


NOTE: The following is flavor text, mostly verbatim from the book, and is not intended to be used as evidence over which characters are or are not in the game nor their affiliation.

The town had spoken. A crowd gathered at the square, where Deception stood on the High Septon's pulpit outside the doors of the Sept, supported between two of the gold cloaks. The High Septon himself stood behind him, a squat man, grey with age and ponderously fat, wearing long white robes and an immense crown of spun gold and crystal that wreathed his head with rainbows whenever he moved.

"I am Eddard Stark, Lord of Winterfell and Hand of the King, and I come before you to confess my treason in the sight of Gods and men." Amidst the shouts of "louder!" from the crowd, Deception struggled to make himself heard. "I betrayed the faith of my King and the trust of my friend, Robert. I swore to defend and protect his children, yet before his blood was cold, I plotted to depose and murder his son and sieze the throne for myself. Let the High Septon and Baelor the Beloved and the Seven bear witness to the truth of what I say: Joffrey Baratheon is the one true heir to the Iron Throne, and by the grace of all the Gods, Lord of the Seven Kingdoms and protector of the realms."

The High Septon knelt before Joffrey. "As we sin, so do we suffer," he intoned in a deep swelling voice. "This man has confessed his crimes in the sight of Gods and men, here in this holy place. The Gods are just, yet Blessed Baelor taught us that they are also merciful. What shall be done with this traitor, Your Grace?"

King Joffrey stepped from behind the shields of his Kingsguard. "I was bidden to let Lord Eddard take the Black, and lady Sansa has begged mercy for her father." He looked straight at Sansa and smiled, then turned back to the crowd and said "but they have the soft hearts of women. So long as I am your King, treason shall never go unpunished. Ser Ilyn, bring me his head."

The crowd roars, some with anger or anguish but others with satisfaction or even pleasure as Lord Eddard's head rolled down the steps of the Great Sept of Baelor. Ser Ilyn Payne then picked up a WHITE card that read as follows:


Player: Deception
Role Name: Eddard “Ned” Stark, Lord of House Winterfell, the King’s Hand
Role: Non-standard Investigator, Town

Night begins now. Night will end in approximately 96 hours (since it includes a weekend).
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Last edited by Sentran on Tue May 08, 2012 3:49 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Silverfire
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:54 am    Post subject: 1134 Reply with quote

Okay, as much as it irks me, Unvote: Deception, Vote MNOWAX. Deception's latest post looks townish to me, and there's no way I want to risk killing our information roles at this point.
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Sentran
Ray of Sucking Funshine



PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:57 am    Post subject: 1135 Reply with quote

Sorry Silver, you missed it. Now SHHHHH!
People are trying to sleep.
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Sentran
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Sentran
Ray of Sucking Funshine



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 5:23 am    Post subject: 1136 Reply with quote

Morning dawns in King’s Landing. The smallfolk are already up and busy, as there are never enough hours in the day to accomplish their tasks. A crowd gathers quickly near the front of the Red Keep, looking up at the pikes on the battlements and their new adornments. Directly next to the pike bearing the head of Eddard Stark is a pike that was empty at nightfall, but now bears the head of a red-headed woman, Catelyn Stark.
A short time later, in the area known as Flea Bottom, a call of “MURDER!” is heard. What at first appeared to be a dirty boy sleeping in an alley is soon found to be much more than that. Not a boy at all, but a young girl with short-cut hair, Arya Stark has been stabbed through the chest.


Lady Catelyn Stark (novice), Town Non-standard Protector, was killed night 2.
Arya Stark (Elethiomel), Town Eavesdropper, was killed night 2.


It is now day 3. With 15 alive, it will take 8 to lynch.

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Sentran
"Speaking of double negatives, I haven't read greylab yet today." - Lifeinmomland


Last edited by Sentran on Tue May 08, 2012 3:50 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Undercover Monk
Professor Chaos



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 4:19 pm    Post subject: 1137 Reply with quote

great job guys. great job. ugh this town sucks[/b]
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2.Never go in against a Sicilian when DEATH is on the line
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Durryn
Doghouse Dweller



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 4:58 pm    Post subject: 1138 Reply with quote

2 people I had on my scumdar are dead now and both came up town......... Admittedly Novice was very low on the list for me, while Eleth was fairly high.

That being said, where do we look? Rather than putting the town down or belittling us, come up with a better answer.

Garou, do you have any insights?

Anyone have any ideas?

New list:
KNOWN TOWN
Me, Garou, Silver, Zag

BELIEVED TOWN
Itisally, MNO, 3iff, Amb

Everyone else is unknown or scum to me.

Last person on my scum list. Vote:Captin Aniima
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Zag
Tired of his old title



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 5:15 pm    Post subject: 1139 Reply with quote

Well, it's not great, but it's hardly time to give up. Sentran, I know that the answer we negative before, but can we learn anything from the flavor text? Specifically, the fact that Catelyn/novice's head was piked next to Deception/Eddard's, does that mean that the scum (that is, Joffrey and his pals) killed novice? (I don't suppose you want to tell us which player was speaking during the flavortext of Ned being beheaded, eh? Enthusiastic Grin)

I guess we have to assume that there's a serial killer on the loose, since the vigilante is already gone. I was sort of hoping that Fritz's death the previous night was the result of a redirector having gotten lucky and redirecting the scum killer. That would have identified TWO more scum for us: the person the redirector targeted AND MNOWAX, since it would put the lie to his story. I figured, though, that if that were the case then the person would have spoken up, yesterday (since we'd nearly be able to declare victory at that point).

Speaking of MNO, does anyone have confirmation of his role claim of Grand Maester Pycelle? I'd really like to feel better about believing in his whole story.

Deception refused to tell us his night 1 investigation, but was he actually telling us with he said, "I have on very strong authority that the mason claim is legit." It's just annoying that he didn't come out and tell us, but that's typical of him, I guess. I suppose that he hoped it would encourage people to unvote him, but it mostly made me want to vote for him.

I've just skimmed through a filter of both Eleth and novice. Nothing much jumps out at me except that they both suspected MNO at the end. It didn't look as if it has the weight of any sort of investigation, though, just suspicion. I would think that Eleth learned something in his eavesdropping on night 1, but I didn't see any indication of it. If no one else has done so, I'll read through his posts more carefully tonight looking for it.

(I REALLY hate to see Arya dead -- she's my favorite character in the books.)

Post-preview edit: Durryn, Silver (or was it Garou) also confirmed Lucresia as part of their masonry. Of course, Silver's last-minute antics look a little suspicious, but I guess I'll believe that it was a legitimate simul-post. (3 minutes is pretty believable.) I'm a little surprised you see Amb as 'believed town.' I'm ready to believe that his voting anomalies are stuff that he knew about, and he lied (or at least misled us) about his lack of knowledge about them. Why would he lie (or mislead) if he is town?
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Sentran
Ray of Sucking Funshine



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 5:35 pm    Post subject: 1140 Reply with quote

Zag wrote:
Sentran, I know that the answer we negative before, but can we learn anything from the flavor text?

I will let people draw their own conclusions on this one. Enthusiastic Grin
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MNOWAX
0.999... of a Troll



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 7:24 pm    Post subject: 1141 Reply with quote

Durryn wrote:


New list:
KNOWN TOWN
Me, Garou, Silver, Zag

BELIEVED TOWN
Itisally, MNO, 3iff, Amb



Whoa wait? How is Zag known town, and I'm only believed town, when I cleared him? Doesn't make sense....
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MNOWAX
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Zag
Tired of his old title



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 8:36 pm    Post subject: 1142 Reply with quote

Because I'm so much prettier.
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itisally
Master of Disguise



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 8:58 pm    Post subject: 1143 Reply with quote

I think it is interesting that two of the people I think are scummy are on Deception. I agree that Amb seems to know more than he he leads on. In fact when asked about his voting on day two he ignored the question, refused an attempt to change even when he seemed to waver. Instead he tried to convince everyone to come back. A ploy that worked and now we are down 3 townies. vote: Amb
I thought I would make my list from Scummy to Townie so you know right where I am. I preface that some of this is based on feeling.

Amb
cloudRunner
Jedo the Jedi

ohcapt13
3iff
spyrl

Undercover Monk
Durryn

MNOWAX
Zag
Lucresia
Silverfire
Garou_Kinfolk
Captin Aniima
itisally
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cloudRunner
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 9:15 pm    Post subject: 1144 Reply with quote

i don’t think either of you (MNO or Zag) are cleared quite yet. The double kill on novice/Elethiomel is pretty suspicious, it seems like both killing parties were going after the folks who sided with House Deception, possibly a deliberate ploy to plant suspicion on members of House MNOWAX. Would scum MNO & scum Zag dare orchestrate such reverse psychology? They are certainly capable of it.

Hey UndercoverMonk, that’s rich, blaming the town for killing Deception. There was a point where you yourself were considering switching your vote to him. There’s no doubt aspects of his play were scummy. His “OMG I HAVE MORE POWERS THAN I’M ACTUALLY LETTING ON!” post left much to be desired. He was in danger of being lynched and with time running short, should’ve claimed. At least he would’ve gotten the wagon called off, gotten night protection, and been able to clear someone the following day.

oh and then there’s Durryn, who switched his vote to Lucresia at the very last minute, because for some reason joining a dying wagon on an inactive mason was better than MNO/Deception. This to me looks like a blatant act to shield himself from potentially getting flak from being on a bad lynchwagon the next day.

Based on this, I’m going to Vote: Durryn
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cloudRunner
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 9:19 pm    Post subject: 1145 Reply with quote

and sally, i'd love to hear why you think i'm scummy.
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Garou_Kinfolk
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 10:45 pm    Post subject: 1146 Reply with quote

Night started 12 hours earlier then I thought it would. Oh well.

I haven't gone through all of the ISOs that I wanted to, so here is who I am currently looking at and why.

On the Jadesmar lynch we had 5 conformed townies, 2 possible townies, 3 unknowns, and 1 confirmed scum.
The 2 possible are Zag and MNOWAX.
The 3 unknowns are Undercover Monk, itisally, and Jedo the Jedi (hammer vote).

When Deception was lynched, Jedo
, Captain Aniima, and Umonk were on MNO. Amb, Ohcapt13, Cloudrunner, and 3iff were on Deception. Those are the unknowns who voted for the lynch or the close lynch.

The ones I would like to look at most are Jedo, Umonk, Amb, and maybe one or two more depending on what I find. I would also like to look at who Novice did NOT vote for on day 2. And take a look at Eleths ISO as well just to see what is there.

Jedo in particular is one I'd like to see. He dropped the hammer on Jadesmar after a question was asked and before Jadesmar could answer and I can't remember if he has really contributed or if he has just been defending himself from others. Its something I'd like to find out.
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MNOWAX
0.999... of a Troll



PostPosted: Tue Mar 13, 2012 11:07 pm    Post subject: 1147 Reply with quote

Sorry I forgot to Vote: Durryn in my last post. that was a pretty obvious in my intent though.
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MNOWAX
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Amb
Amb the Hitched.



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 1:23 am    Post subject: 1148 Reply with quote

All I can say Sally is that I am having a terrible game.Dispirited I only came on as a favour to the mod - I wasn't planning on playing. And I can clearly see that I havent helped things. Though deception is far more to blame than I.

Yes I know more than I let on. I knew my vote was going to double. I didnt know it was going to lock, and I still dont know if that was role - related or some prankster targetting me. I didnt want to shout out on day 1 that my vote was doubled, because in effect the ability forced me to indirectly claim which I was loathe to do.

This said: Both Deception and Jadesmar failed to claim properly. There is a very good chance that 1 (or both) of the 2 of them would still live had they done so.

Right now, I'm clearing all my suspicion lists on account of being total crap.
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Zag
Tired of his old title



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 1:25 am    Post subject: 1149 Reply with quote

I see the point on Durryn, and he has risen on my scum list.

However, for right now I want an honest accounting from Amb. He said this, referring both to the double vote and to the inability to unvote.
Amb wrote:
Fact of the matter is, I don't know what is happening with my vote.

I don't believe him. If you filter just to his posts, it looks as if he was reluctant to cast his first vote. During the RVS period, he said. "I'd vote UM back in revenge, but I am afraid that I would be too successful and he would swing" and "*severely tempted to vote aniima just so I don't have to read too many "macros-esque" posts like the above*" but he didn't actually vote either. It's not exactly proof that he knew before actually voting, but it seems suspicious.

His votes (Durryn, Decption), both look like they were attempts to boost a quickly-growing lynch mob (though only if you assume he knew they would be double votes). Anyway, it looks to me like the most suspicious thing out there and is at least worth a little pressure. vote: Amb
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 2:47 am    Post subject: 1150 Reply with quote

I'll give another post tomorrow with more content, but I want to jump in now saying I don't think Amb should be a target. Roles which affect votes are very rarely given to mafia because then they would have significant power over Night and Day deaths. Sure it isn't 100%, but it's enough for me not to think him scum.
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Durryn
Doghouse Dweller



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:58 am    Post subject: 1151 Reply with quote

LOL, back to the start of day Durryn wagon? Come on folks. I am grasping at straws here, just like the rest of you. I have to admit, I was surprised to see myself so high on Allys' list.

Yes MNO, you are still an unknown to me. Your Scum/Town would be unaffected by Zag saving you. If he had saved Fritzler, would Fritzler have become town? I don't believe so, he would only have lost Godfather ability. You are however (MNO) not even close to my scum list.


I have to agree with Jedo concerning Amb. Sentran is to good at creating balance to do that to the game and I would have hidden the info from the Mafia too. The only way to do that is hide it from the town as well.

If pushed I will claim, but I believe I die the following night (if not tonight for saying this much).
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MNOWAX
0.999... of a Troll



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 6:16 am    Post subject: 1152 Reply with quote

Unvote

okay, I'm satisfied. Well where d owe go from here? Out of the three people i thought were scumbags, two of them died. My scumdar is off, I thought we had Deception-scum dead-to-rites.
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MNOWAX
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Amb
Amb the Hitched.



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 6:18 am    Post subject: 1153 Reply with quote

Anyones Scumdar can be off when Deception behaves like he did. Sadly, for all his apparent expertise in mafia, he just simply distracted the town and didn't add anything to help us.
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3iff
very unbifflike



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 10:00 am    Post subject: 1154 Reply with quote

Three dead townies? Gah.

Had Deception not tried to role-play his actual character then he might not have come across as potentially scummy.

Mod: What's the status of Lucresia?

Amb and his double vote. I'm certain he knew it was a double vote from the start, and very likely he knew it would not be changeable once cast. He was quite cavalier in using his power in the secret theme game (despite making himself look scummy in the process) and I'm sure he's just doing the same thing now. As for his claim that "He's having a terrible game"...that's hard to believe.

cloudRunner wrote:
oh and then there’s Durryn, who switched his vote to Lucresia at the very last minute, because for some reason joining a dying wagon on an inactive mason was better than MNO/Deception. This to me looks like a blatant act to shield himself from potentially getting flak from being on a bad lynchwagon the next day.
Interesting. Seems odd that he did this, surely less conspicuous to simply not vote at all? At that point, all the votes had moved off Lucresia so she wasn't a lynch candidate.

Otherwise, I'm back at square one...
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Sentran
Ray of Sucking Funshine



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 1:27 pm    Post subject: 1155 Reply with quote

3iff wrote:
Mod: What's the status of Lucresia?

I received a response from her by email, requesting a replacement if one could be found. Since I have no replacement, I'm trying to give her a bit more time.
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 2:29 pm    Post subject: 1156 Reply with quote

Well, I've taken the time to go back over the thread and try to gather myself since I missed a good chunk in the middle of the craziness. Here is my top suspect and the case.

itisally wrote:
SO Fritzler may have mistaken the statement as Durryn's, but because he comes on so strong I find it more likely to be purposeful misinformation.

Why is this more likely? (Fritzler did counter this with a sarcastic response about why he would totally do that when someone else could just go look it up.) It's strange that she would jump to this first. Include a general nervousness about Fritz--his play and the sarcasm--and I say we have some distancing going on.

itisally wrote:
I am not sure that there is a reason to believe that a double vote is a scum ability. It may just be a a very adamant townie.

Note this response for now.**

itisally wrote:
I have said before that day one is useless until someone gets angry.Do we have enough info now? I am not sure, but no one seems scummy enough for me to vote on.

She was pretty shy about placing her vote on Day 1. Now, I can believe she is a more cautious player (and she certainly reiterates enough how uncertain she is about her reads), but considering the row we had in the middle of the game about gathering all this Day 1 information based on people's reactions, it is suspicious she didn't place votes for us to analyze later.

itisally wrote:
Mostly because I don't think he ever really got past an OMGUS vote on Durryn and it was a bandwagon for bandwagon sake. (Turn about is fair play)
I think he uses sarcasm as a distraction from himself, which I just find, well, distracting.
I don't trust anyone who admits to being a great liar with pride.

She finally votes Fritzler for these reasons. It's really not significant because it's only the third vote on a person when there is another major wagon which is clearly about to switch to someone else entirely. (Durryn ->Silverfire)

itisally wrote:
Frankly I think both jadesmar and Deception are town like. And MNO is always weird and quiet day one. I don't like any of the current wagons.

Still staying out of the limelight with her suspicions.

itisally wrote:
With that we are growing close to deadline. And although I am not a big fan of either wagon, I want my oppinion to have baring on the outcome. If the two where on a scale I would vote: jadesmar But to be clear I think it is more likely that we have two townies going at it while the mafia sit back and laugh.

Is pretty late onto the voting. Not a tell in itself, but she left her vote impotent on Fritzler for a long time. That's what disturbs me.

She displayed significant buddying with Deception on Day 1. The idea is you want to gain some towncred by agreeing with someone so that when they flip, people see you as on their side. That's what I did with Amb last game. Notice how well it works.
Durryn wrote:
The only thing that would actually give Ally my FoS or add suspicion to her is if Deception comes up scum Not sure if this means anything, but Un-FOS: Itisally until we get an answer concerning Deception.

Durryn would only be suspicious of Ally if Deception flipped scum; but if he flipped town, Ally would be cleared by proxy.

itisally wrote:
I was so sure you were town yesterday... today I feel like I may have been duped into supporting the wrong wagon.

Then we have the flop. Monk commented on the previous Day how Deception was bound to be targeted eventually because of his playstyle. Why not today after he aggressively pursued two townies for the lynch? (For the record, I'm not saying Ally is suspicious because she targeted Deception. I'm saying she is suspicious because of how much she was agreeing with him the day before.)

itisally wrote:
I am confident that Amiima is not scum.

For someone who claims she is not confident about her reads, this is a jarring post.

itisally wrote:
My fear is that by talking game theory with the newbs, scum players build a report. There are not really any major errors that can be caught in a game theory discussion but it raises post count and feels like they are being helpful by teaching. I find it interesting.
Yet she did this multiple times herself. (With Garou and ohcapt at least)

Her first vote of day 2 is two weeks in and she starts on a lurker. Again, keeping her voting out of the limelight.

itisally wrote:
I also find that most of the people he [Deception] has a scum read on are people I have a town read on,...

I find that interesting too. Especially now, after Deception has flipped. Here is Ally's scum list:
itisally wrote:
Amb
cloudRunner
Jedo the Jedi

and here is Deception's town list from just before his death:
Deception wrote:
Lower suspicion:
cloudRunner
Jedo

Now, you have to admit that one of those could have been an investigation. We can't know for sure, but it's at least a significant possibility. For Ally to have direct opposite suspicions is very strange.

**Up at the top, I said to make a note. Ally felt there was no reason to believe double vote is a scum ability. Now, however, she is targeting the person many believe to have that ability. Inconsistent? I think so. (If you can explain the switch, maybe I'll let this go. It should be convincing though.)

itisally wrote:
@Novice, of course I am not certain, but I feel the need to land somewhere. I have a couple other leads but I see less value in pursuing them at this point.

I tried to keep these in chronological order, but that very last bit had to be compressed. This is after her Deception vote. My problem here is that novice just threw out a general comment, but Ally is the one who responded to it. Defensive much?

Anyway, there is my case against Ally. Generally, she keeps her vote off for a long time (thereby depriving of information which she touts as being so important); distancing with Fritz and buddying with Deception; inconsistency in her comments to others and her own play; and coming onto lynches at non-suspicious times. (Even starting out voting for Amb today is not suspicious because that is obviously where the town was discussing yesterday to head today.)

vote: itisally
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 2:30 pm    Post subject: 1157 Reply with quote

I will be gone starting tomorrow until Sunday. If there is good activity today, I will be around to discuss what I brought up.
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spyrl
Daedalian Member



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:35 pm    Post subject: 1158 Reply with quote

Durryn, I don't know how you can put Zag on the confirmed town list unless you have a role which gives you insight into alignment. If you are basing Zag's alignment off of your post 1151, you've got it backwards. Zag's ability didn't save MNO, MNO's ability saved Zag. I also don't know why you wouldn't list Lucresia in with the other Masons, seeing as how the alignment of one is tied to the others.

I have also noticed that Amb seems to be playing in a suspicious way. I've commented on how much orchestration he has seemed to be trying to pull, repeatedly calling for people to lynch Deception, both on Day 1 and 2. I don't think it's impossible to have a double vote ability be scum. Since we don't know how many scum are in the game, there could be one or two fewer than normal and as a balancing factor, it is conceivable that we could have a double voting scum. Add that to his borderline lie:

Post 272 (bold added by me) "Maybe there is a secret twist to my role that means I cannot unvote. If so, I havent been told about it. Maybe there is a secret twist that doubles my vote. If so, ditto. It is far more likely that I am the victim of a player who targets me."

El even called him on in in the next post "Essentially what I was pointing out is that you have a history of weird play even when you're town, and asking you to reconsider your strategy if that's what you're up to now, too. The motivation for my question is clear and very much pro-town: I don't want to waste time suspecting townies."

I don't know why ally has me on the scummy end of her list, just like I don't understand how she could have Aniima listed as more towny than the Masons, unless she has information from outside this forum. Aniima may be a newbie here in the GL, but she's definitely not a newbie when it comes to the game itself and I haven't seen anything in her posts that puts such a concrete stamp of "town" on her so far.
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Zag
Tired of his old title



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:48 pm    Post subject: 1159 Reply with quote

I'm not convinced about itisally, but there is some good food for thought. Some of the items, though, could just as easily be taken the opposite way.

I will say that I disagree about Amb's role. Both Jedo and Durryn have made the argument that a double vote power is too powerful for a scum, but I think you are both thinking in terms of a normal Mafia game, where only a couple of the townies have power roles. Consider the roles we've seen already: 1. Needs a 2/3 majority to lynch (which directly opposes a scum double vote). 2. Gets a truthful answer to ANY yes or no question. plus vigilante, and eavesdropper and non-standard protector (whatever those really are).

I doubt Deception realized how really powerful the yes or no question power is: The trick here is to ask questions about two people at a time: i.e. Are Fred and Barney BOTH town? If you ask about two people who you believe to be both town, you very likely clear them quickly. Even if the answer is no, you've learned something valuable, and you can narrow down the next night with "Are Fred and Wilma both town?" A yes there clears two people AND indicts another; a no there is a pretty strong indicator that Fred is scum, and if he turns out not to be then you know both Barney and Wilma are.

My point is that with all the town powers out there, a double vote power, especially with the limitation that you're unable to unvote, is not at all overpowered for a scum to have. I wouldn't convict Amb based on having it, but I am willing to convict him based on him lying about it. In any case, I think pressuring him to become more forthcoming will be valuable. Confirm vote: Amb

(Also, if he does flip scum, I'm going to be taking a long hard look at you two, Jedo and Durryn.)
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itisally
Master of Disguise



PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 4:28 pm    Post subject: 1160 Reply with quote

I said before that my suspension list is base somewhat on feeling, but even yesterday people were feeling like I wasn’t giving enough information. I am much more confident in the people who are town then the people who are at the top.

@Durryn: Wasn’t it MNO that saved Zag?

@ Amb: What would you consider a proper claim?

@ 3iff: I don’t think the no lying thing was role play so much ad Mod required.

In regards to Jedo (see post 1156)
I agree that Mafia having a double vote is outside of the norm. So in it wouldn’t be THE reason to think he was scum. Zag has summed it up nicely.

I think it is interesting that much of your case against me surrounds my scum read on Fritzler, who was, BTW, scum. Now that you think it was a distancing technique I feel like I should be more confident in my reads!

I laughed when you quote my statement that has a “because” statement in it and then ask me why I thought so… I told you why. It may not have been a great reason but it was the one I had.

The comment about Aniima is supposed to be jarring. I am quite confident that she is town. The fact that I can only be confident of myself and one other person (especially that early) may mean something!

I am always shy about placing my vote, voting inevitably gets me suspected (as it has now) I think it is interesting that so many people think the only way to get information is by how people vote. I have not been shy about sharing information or about how I feel, even when those feelings change along the way; as sometimes they must or we would never get a consensus. In fact my sharing has given Jedo lots of things to quote.

As for my switch to Jadesmar, I should have left my “impotent” vote on the scum rather than being pressured in to voting with the rest of the people who were wrong.

Day one I was not willing to vote for Deception just because I didn’t like him. Being a jerk didn’t make him scum. The problem with coming on strong Like Deception (or El and Novice for that matter) is that once you are wrong I tend to doubt everything that comes from him. I took that into consideration when he posted his suspicion list too. But I will say that cloudRunner and Jedo are of a Lower Suspicion not cleared according to Deception; and Amb was the one he had on the top of his list.

And for the record I would still rather lynch someone who is inactive than someone I think is town and participating. It is one of those policy things Jedo is so fond of.

SO in short Jedo is voting me because I didn’t vote for townies, I did join wagons at “non-suspicious times”, and I willing to consede that I can be wrong (he calls this inconsistency).
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