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Jack_Ian
Big Endian
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Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:55 am Post subject: 801 |
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Not directly related to the current discussion, but I just heard this quotation and thought I'd share it.
| Galileo wrote: |
| I think that in the discussion of natural problems we ought to begin not with the Scriptures, but with experiments, and demonstrations. |
For me, any religion that is afraid of the truth must be regarded as somewhat suspect. If you rely on scripture to decide your path then you have not truly chosen your path in life but rather you have allowed yourself to be led by someone else's thinking/interpretation.
If I was God, I would be more pleased with someone who had truly examined their choices in life and taken the wrong path then someone who blindly followed the well-worn path. |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2012 2:03 am Post subject: 802 |
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| Jack_Ian wrote: |
| If I was God, I would be more pleased with someone who had truly examined their choices in life and taken the wrong path then someone who blindly followed the well-worn path. |
C. S. Lewis has a character in the final installment of the Narnia Series who has served the wrong evil God, but because he has done so faithfully, Aslan accepts him into "heaven." _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2012 2:24 am Post subject: 803 |
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| Aslan wrote: |
| Therefore if any man swear by Tash and keep his oath for the oath's sake, it is by me that he has truly sworn, though he know it not, and it is I who reward him. And if any man do a cruelty in my name, then, though he says the name Aslan, it is Tash whom he serves and by Tash his deed is accepted. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Mon Oct 22, 2012 10:31 pm Post subject: 804 |
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| C.S. Lewis wrote: |
| When a young man who has been going to church in a routine way honestly realizes that he does not believe in Christianity and stops going — provided he does it for honesty’s sake and not just to annoy his parents — the spirit of Christ is probably nearer to him then than it ever was before. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 8:57 pm Post subject: 805 |
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I've had time to reflect on recent discussions in this thread and have tried to parse the basic argument for strong (or positive) atheism. Strong atheists, let me know if this satisfies, or please clarify if it doesn't:
1. The only reason to consider that a god exists is because people seem to believe it does.
2. When people believe things for which there is no objective observable evidence, these things usually turn out to be false.
3. A belief that a god exists is something for which there is no objective observable evidence.
Therefore, the belief that a god exists is probably false. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 9:39 pm Post subject: 806 |
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I'm finding the first two to be oddly convoluted, in an oddly subtle way.
| BraveHat wrote: |
I've had time to reflect on recent discussions in this thread and have tried to parse the basic argument for strong (or positive) atheism. Strong atheists, let me know if this satisfies, or please clarify if it doesn't:
1. The only reason to consider that a god exists is because people seem to believe it does. |
If "consider' means believe, I don't think some people believing is a reason to believe at all, other than perhaps in some heuristic sense, prior to and apart from any other empirical and/or rational considerations.
If "consider" doesn't mean believe, it isn't clear how the above statement relates to the rest of the argument, which talk about belief.
| BraveHat wrote: |
| 2. When people believe things for which there is no objective observable evidence, these things usually turn out to be false. |
What does people believing in these things have anything to do with anything? We have no objective observable evidence of the Flying Spaghetti Monster. Whether people believe in the FSM or not, what are the criteria by which we could say it "turned out to be false"? It might be true, as might countless many never-dreamt-of things. All these things with no observable evidence, we presume false, or at least understand we have no more reason to believe one than another. I think when the strong atheist says "there is no God", ... well, not to go all Bill Clinton on this, but it depends on what you mean by "is" ... but I think the atheist means it in the same sense that you or I would mean "is" if we said "there is no flying spaghetti monster". The strong atheist wonders why someone would any more seriously consider whether there "is" a God than consider whether there "is" a FSM. Sure, maybe, but again, along with the countless many never-dreamt-of things that maybe exist, without any evidence at all - in that sense maybe. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 11:13 pm Post subject: 807 |
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| extropalopakettle wrote: |
I'm finding the first two to be oddly convoluted, in an oddly subtle way.
| I wrote: |
1. The only reason to consider that a god exists is because people seem to believe it does. |
If "consider' means believe, I don't think some people believing is a reason to believe at all, other than perhaps in some heuristic sense, prior to and apart from any other empirical and/or rational considerations.
If "consider" doesn't mean believe, it isn't clear how the above statement relates to the rest of the argument, which talk about belief. |
Maybe "investigate" is a better word. A reason to bother testing the claim. If someone says X is true, the simple act of asking "where is the evidence for X?" would be an example of investigating. Maybe "positing" or "supposing" would work. The argument is about the observation of people believing something and the relevance or lack of relevance to the truth value of the claim.
| extropalopakettle wrote: |
| I wrote: |
| 2. When people believe things for which there is no objective observable evidence, these things usually turn out to be false. |
What does people believing in these things have anything to do with anything? We have no objective observable evidence of the Flying Spaghetti Monster. Whether people believe in the FSM or not, what are the criteria by which we could say it "turned out to be false"? It might be true, as might countless many never-dreamt-of things. All these things with no observable evidence, we presume false, or at least understand we have no more reason to believe one than another. I think when the strong atheist says "there is no God", ... well, not to go all Bill Clinton on this, but it depends on what you mean by "is" ... but I think the atheist means it in the same sense that you or I would mean "is" if we said "there is no flying spaghetti monster". The strong atheist wonders why someone would any more seriously consider whether there "is" a God than consider whether there "is" a FSM. Sure, maybe, but again, along with the countless many never-dreamt-of things that maybe exist, without any evidence at all - in that sense maybe. |
There are some kinds of things people believe for which I wouldn't presume false at the outset, such as if a mathematician told me the answer to a very complicated problem which I couldn't solve is 3x-1. I would probably credit his answer on his authority unless it were observed that mathematicians usually get the answer wrong. Likewise, I'd probably credit the beliefs of authority figures in society unless it was observed that the beliefs are usually false. The observation of these beliefs being mutually exclusive and contradictory of the beliefs of different authority figures might be considered a reason that at least most of them must be false. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 11:53 pm Post subject: 808 |
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| One example of 2. might be the Madoff scandal. People believed he had a legitimate system of producing consistently profitable returns. But there was never any objectively observable evidence of that system. Whenever he was asked to explain, he would invoke it's complexity and his reputation as a genius to avoid explaining it. It turned out to be false. Lots of investors stayed away from Madoff because of 2. or something like it. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 1:47 am Post subject: 809 |
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I think that 'consider' was exactly the right word, BH, and your longer definition is spot on. You probably don't, for instance, even consider the possibility that there are invisible elephant-like aliens that follow everyone around without being detected. There are an infinite number of things that you or I have never even considered.
The existence of your God is something I have considered, only because so many of you believe something more or less the same. (I suspect that it's a lot less than most of you think, but I can't prove that.) I continue to consider it, off and on, though not with very much expectation, anymore. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 2:32 am Post subject: 810 |
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| Obviously, as a theist I don't readily agree with the conclusion, though I do think it reasonably follows from the premises. I think there are aspects of the premises that are problematic. But it's important for me to take this topic seriously and I don't want to bother examining the argument if it's a straw man, so I'll give it a while to see if you or other strong atheists find anything disagreeable, incomplete or unclear about it. |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 4:47 am Post subject: 811 |
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| BraveHat wrote: |
I've had time to reflect on recent discussions in this thread and have tried to parse the basic argument for strong (or positive) atheism. Strong atheists, let me know if this satisfies, or please clarify if it doesn't:
1. The only reason to consider that a god exists is because people seem to believe it does.
2. When people believe things for which there is no objective observable evidence, these things usually turn out to be false.
3. A belief that a god exists is something for which there is no objective observable evidence.
Therefore, the belief that a god exists is probably false. |
I think this argument is not quite right. It seems you are saying that we (that is, atheists) are disbelieving because so many people do believe it (with no observable evidence). That's not the case. We disbelieve it because there is no evidence. That's enough. Just like I disbelieve the invisible elephant-like alien theory -- there's no evidence.
It is more accurate to say that the issue DOES merit some consideration because so many people do believe it. That is, I'll actually ponder it, look for evidence, etc., only because it seems surprising that so many people could be deceived. (Only a little surprising, however, not all THAT surprising.) However, I don't take the belief of multitudes to be enough to believe in something; for that I need evidence. But your deity theory still is a step up over the invisible alien theory -- I don't even consider that one.
Many years ago, I spent some time working on stock-quote analysis software. I had a co-worker friend who became convinced that partial-block short sellers would be a great negative indicator of market trends. His theory went this way: Selling short on a stock is an advanced move that should only be done by people with experience, people who know what they're doing. However, people who are buying or selling partial blocks are small-time, people without the funds to be doing any real trading, and therefore probably aren't knowledgeable. (Way back when, before computers managed the stock market, trading in units of less than 100 shares, a partial block, carried an extra cost, so no one serious did it.)
Anyway, his theory was that partial-block short sellers were pompous morons who thought they knew a lot more than they did. Therefore, the action they were taking was probably wrong, and you should bet against them. His theory was fundamentally flawed, because it assumed that stupid people were the negative of geniuses, that they got the right answer significantly LESS often than a flip of the coin would.
Fortunately, that sort of theory was exactly the kind of thing that our product enabled one to test. He ran the analysis and, as I had predicted, it turned out that this group was not any more likely to be wrong than it was to be right. He was right that they were no-nothing morons, but to conclude that this meant they would always be wrong was a mistake. After all, someone with no knowledge at all in a subject is still likely to get half the answers right in a true-false exam, so guessing the opposite of the dumbest guy in class is not going to be the same as copying the smartest. (This would be incredibly powerful if it did work, because stupid people are easy to find.)
Anyway, this long and boring story was reminded to me by what it sounded as if you were asserting, that atheists believe that the masses are more likely to be wrong than to be right. I, for one, do not think so. I give some credence to the populous belief, at least enough to spend some thought on it, even though I know of most people's incredible ability to self-deceive, to see patterns in randomness, and to come to conclusions that make them feel good. However, my knowledge of those human flaws are what keep me saying that I need evidence that stands up to scientific scrutiny. Until I get it, I'm going to stick with Occam's Razor and physics. |
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bgg1996
BeeGees are awesome!
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:59 am Post subject: 812 |
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I'm sure there's more than 1 train of logic atheists can take to the disbelief in god.
The idea of a god barely makes sense to me. The stereotypical god is a being that can do anything, created Earth and the rest of the universe through its own will a few thousand years ago, did miracles in front of its chosen people, got them to write an awesome book about it, and at some point created irrefutable evidence that the Earth was formed not thousands, but billions of years ago, that all of today's species evolved over time from a single bacterial cell, that the Earth is spherical (we have pictures,) that the orbits of the planets are based around the sun instead of Earth, that diseases are caused by pathogens instead of demons, and much more. This god is divine, meaning that they are benevolent and can do no wrong. If you don't believe in this god, you suffer in hell for eternity.
The belief in deities has existed for tens of thousands of years, from the Mother Goddess, worshiped some time from 24,000-22,000 B.C. Since then, many gods have been worshiped, some leaving their mark on history, such as Roman mythology, and some not. The beliefs in most of these deities were contingent on mythologies that are clearly incorrect, for example, Earth resting on a turtle, which we have photographic evidence against, but they still pop up independently of each other. I don't think this is evidence that there is a god, only that it's beneficial for a group of people to be united with religion. I don't find it that strange that a large number of people today are religious, although I wish that number was a lot smaller. I am astounded, however, that intelligent folks buy into it, when there's no evidence for any god, most people who've lived do not believe in this god, and the original belief system involved elements that have been proven false beyond a shadow of a doubt. If you think it's evidence enough that a large number of people believe in something, then a large number of people will end up believing in it for that reason.
Although many of those who've made discoveries have been religious, none of the discoveries have lent any evidence to the existence of god. In fact, religion has opposed scientific discoveries that disagreed with its belief system, such as the solar-centric view of the solar system, impeding progress because experimental data disagreed with the dogma of the religion. After this belief has been accepted, the religion isn't held as false, it's just changed with the new discovery in mind Ad Hoc. Even though the bible states that God creates man out of dirt, many Christians today believe in evolution, because it's been proven true beyond reasonable doubt. Religion has evolved over time to lose everything that's been proven false, but somehow kept the belief in God, Souls, and the Afterlife. I don't believe in any of those things. The idea of a soul is basically the conscience, except that after death, the soul will leave the body and go to heaven or hell and live there in peace/torture. Humans evolved slowly over time from what one would call animals. Each one was only very slightly different than their parents, but over time, the differences accumulated into speciation. Humans having souls would imply that there was a first "human" who had a soul when his parents did not. Or at least that there is an extremely fine line between a human and human-like animal, one having a soul, one not. After all, you can't somewhat have a soul, and somewhat go to heaven, and somewhat have an afterlife. Even if you said that all living things (including plants and bacteria) have souls, we all evolved from a collection of stuff that could make more of itself. Saying that one has a soul when your parents do not, even if there's basically no difference between you and your parents goes against the concept of a soul, that there is a fundamental difference between those that have them and those that do not. To go to an afterlife implies a specific time when "you" die, but even if doctors pronounce you dead, skin cells will continue to live on. You could try to make a meaningful distinction between living and dead, but it's always going to be an arbitrary line. It also implies that there's a "you" that's more "you" than any other past or future "you." If when you die senile your senile soul goes to heaven senile, then if you want a good afterlife, you should attempt to die youthful. If it's a past version of you that has the soul, do you have the memories of what happened after that? More importantly, which past version is it that has it? 20-years old? 21? 20 years, 2 months, 14 days, 7 hours, 14 minutes old? Is that version of you more you than you are you? Or do all your selves get an afterlife, down to when you were a baby? In that case, when do you get your soul? Conception or birth? If birth, then your fetus could've easily been cut out beforehand via Caesarian Section and you could've lived a normal life. Does that mean people born via Caesarian Section don't have souls? Or do you get your soul the moment your center of mass leaves your mother's uterus? If conception, then why give a soul to a mindless zygote? How can they have a meaningful heaven or hell, without emotions? Having a moral code to which everyone must be judged is also annoying. It implies that there's a universal, quantifiable morality to every decision. I'd go on, but I'm too tired by now, and my writing ability's degraded to the point of rambling. _________________ The one member below 18 |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 1:56 pm Post subject: 813 |
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That's quite a caricature of the Church, bgg. People who believe in the Christian God are idiots because the forerunners of this belief once believed the Earth was flat? That would make everybody idiots because in that time everybody believed the Earth was flat because they didn't have any way to know better. Come on, dude.
| Zag wrote: |
| Until I get it, I'm going to stick with Occam's Razor and physics. |
This is becoming a humorous sentiment to me. Certainly this principle has been thought of by multiple people in different contexts, but it was used heavily by William of Ockham, John Duns Scotus, and John Punch in the middle ages. These people were all Christians who believed in the Christian God. They actually applied this principle to say that theology is not a science and the existence of God cannot be proven by logic. (They were opposing the scholastic theologians who were arguing for the..."study" of God through reason. Anselm is one such who even tried to find a logical proof for the existence of God.) I'm sure that's what most atheists use it for. Atheists just don't make the concluding step that these guys made: God must be taken on faith.
I'm sure there is not some perfect evidence for God's existence. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 1:59 pm Post subject: 814 |
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| Zag wrote: |
I think this argument is not quite right. It seems you are saying that we (that is, atheists) are disbelieving because so many people do believe it (with no observable evidence). That's not the case. We disbelieve it because there is no evidence. That's enough. Just like I disbelieve the invisible elephant-like alien theory -- there's no evidence. |
The argument assumes it's unreasonable to automatically place the concept of a god into the "probably not true" status, before saying something about the nature of human belief, particularly about the correlation or lack of correlation between belief and truth value. Premise 2 is a reason to doubt the belief, as opposed to just leaving it an open possibility*. If you think there is no correlation between human belief and truth value, then that's something that can be examined.
*another reason to doubt the belief, as bgg1996 suggests, is if the belief actually contradicts what we know about the world or if it is internally contradictory. I suppose that could be another argument |
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bgg1996
BeeGees are awesome!
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 5:48 pm Post subject: 815 |
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| Jedo the Jedi wrote: |
| That's quite a caricature of the Church, bgg. People who believe in the Christian God are idiots because the forerunners of this belief once believed the Earth was flat? That would make everybody idiots because in that time everybody believed the Earth was flat because they didn't have any way to know better. Come on, dude. |
I don't mean to say that because someone's ancestor's didn't understand the universe, they must be idiots. I mean to say that because the belief system contained elements that were proven false, the belief system was probably made up, and I don't think it's intelligent to believe in something unlikely when the only evidence for it also supports things that were proven false. _________________ The one member below 18 |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 6:40 pm Post subject: 816 |
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| bgg1996 wrote: |
| I mean to say that because the belief system contained elements that were proven false, the belief system was probably made up, and I don't think it's intelligent to believe in something unlikely when the only evidence for it also supports things that were proven false. |
What elements were "proven false"? I can pick out from your post some of the ones I think you might raise, but it will probably save us time and frustration from talking past each other if you will just list them. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 7:47 pm Post subject: 817 |
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| BraveHat wrote: |
| I have a question for strong atheists. Strong athiests, as I understand the term, are those who believe a god's existence is highly unlikely. This is opposed to weak atheists, who simply just don't have a belief in a god. Maybe there are no strong atheists here, in which case, this is likely to be a very short discussion. But if there are, I am very curious about what the reasoning is which supports that position. If a god exists, a theist's position could be justified by a direct apprehension/experience of the god, regardless of whether or not it is communicable. But whether a god exists or not, I don't understand how the strong athiest position can be justified. |
Regarding belief that a god's existence is highly unlikely, there are two things that must be considered: 1) available evidence, direct or indirect, and 2) Occam's razor. It might be difficult to say where the notion of a god fits on the scale of simple to complex, but to mean it leans toward the complex in being, as is often said, beyond human comprehension.
| Quote: |
| It seems to me the lack of evidence of a god's existence is only sufficient to assume a position of weak atheism. |
Again, who here doesn't believe the existence of the FSM is highly unlikely? Or undetectable leprechauns? Why would we say highly unlikely about those, but not about a god? Lack of evidence for some specific complex thing drawn from an infinity of possible unevidenced complex things ... if you mean to say we shouldn't conclude any of them unlikely, OK, but I think that needs to be said to provide context. That is, weak atheism, as you might see it more understandable than strong atheism, is like this: Existence of a god isn't unlikely, but I don't believe in it, just like existence of the FSM or undetectable leprechauns, etc. are not unlikely, though I don't believe in them. Somehow that might seem to take away from the seriousness of the "not highly unlikely" conclusion of weak atheism, but if it's not putting it in proper perspective, I'd like to know why not. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 7:48 pm Post subject: 818 |
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| extropalopakettle wrote: |
| BraveHat wrote: |
| I have a question for strong atheists. Strong athiests, as I understand the term, are those who believe a god's existence is highly unlikely. This is opposed to weak atheists, who simply just don't have a belief in a god. Maybe there are no strong atheists here, in which case, this is likely to be a very short discussion. But if there are, I am very curious about what the reasoning is which supports that position. If a god exists, a theist's position could be justified by a direct apprehension/experience of the god, regardless of whether or not it is communicable. But whether a god exists or not, I don't understand how the strong athiest position can be justified. |
Regarding belief that a god's existence is highly unlikely, there are two things that must be considered: 1) available evidence, direct or indirect, and 2) Occam's razor. It might be difficult to say where the notion of a god fits on the scale of simple to complex, but to me it leans toward the complex in being, as is often said, beyond human comprehension.
| Quote: |
| It seems to me the lack of evidence of a god's existence is only sufficient to assume a position of weak atheism. |
Again, who here doesn't believe the existence of the FSM is highly unlikely? Or undetectable leprechauns? Why would we say highly unlikely about those, but not about a god? Lack of evidence for some specific complex thing drawn from an infinity of possible unevidenced complex things ... if you mean to say we shouldn't conclude any of them unlikely, OK, but I think that needs to be said to provide context. That is, weak atheism, as you might see it more understandable than strong atheism, is like this: Existence of a god isn't unlikely, but I don't believe in it, just like existence of the FSM or undetectable leprechauns, etc. are not unlikely, though I don't believe in them. Somehow that might seem to take away from the seriousness of the "not highly unlikely" conclusion of weak atheism, but if it's not putting it in proper perspective, I'd like to know why not. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:03 pm Post subject: 819 |
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In case that wasn't clear,
Strong Atheism: Existence of a god is highly unlikely.
Weak Atheism 1: I don't believe there exists a god, though I can't conclude a god's existence to be highly unlikely.
Weak Atheism 2: I don't believe there exists a god, or an FSM, or undetectable flying leprechauns, etc... , though I can't conclude the existence of any of those to be highly unlikely.
Weak Atheism 2 might be taken as a sarcastic way of putting Strong Atheism, but to me it's just putting Weak Atheism 1 in proper rational context. |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:05 pm Post subject: 820 |
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Weak atheism in general seems to be more agnostic. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:10 pm Post subject: 821 |
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| Jedo the Jedi wrote: |
| Weak atheism in general seems to be more agnostic. |
But if you're equally agnostic ("I don't know") about god, leprechauns, faeries, flying macaroni monsters of all persuasions, etc, how different is that from strong atheism?
If weak versus strong in disbelief of a god is different than weak versus strong in disbelief about any of those other things, I'd like to know why. |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:23 pm Post subject: 822 |
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I'm not the one making the argument, but it seems to me that strong atheism would entail active disbelief as opposed to a position of apathy. As this sort of strong atheist, you might still concede the (very minimal) possibility that you are wrong, but you do not consider that enough to change your (dis)belief. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:40 pm Post subject: 823 |
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I guess I'm trying to get my head around what real difference it makes. What does it matter if I say:
- There are no flying leprechauns.
- There is no evidence for flying leprechauns, and I consider their existence to be highly unlikely.
- There is no evidence for flying leprechauns, so maybe they exist, maybe they don't, I don't know.
Do people live differently depending on which of the above beliefs they hold, based on the same information? Or are they just different ways of saying the same thing?
And does it matter whether I think of the above question about beliefs in terms of belief in flying leprechauns, or a god? It seems to me this is more about the differences between stating "X is false", "X is highly unlikely to be true" and "I have no evidence toward any likelihood X is true, nor false, so I don't know".
Now, if X is "the coin I just tossed in the well landed heads", I'd go with the latter of the three. But there's a difference there. I'm just worried that discussing this about god versus discussing it about flying leprechauns might be dragging in some implicit assumptions that ought to be made explicit. If there are no such implicit assumptions, let's talk about flying leprechauns. |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:49 pm Post subject: 824 |
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I think those statements (or attitudes of belief) would make a difference not in how the person lives but in how likely they are to be "converted" to another way of thinking.
- Person 1 probably would not change even if flying leprechauns appeared in front of her. (She would find another explanation. Hallucination, for example.)
- Person 2 is more likely to change their opinion because they at least admit there is a very small probability. Significant evidence to the contrary could be swaying.
- Person 3 would be the easiest to convert because they are pretty apathetic.
I think there are some nuances there which are important, though not necessarily in day-to-day living. All probably live without much thought for imaginary, flying leprechauns unless some adherent to the leprechauns pesters them about it. (Person 3 might think about them occasionally, but not any more than they would think about the FSM.)
I can't say whether BraveHat has some implicit assumption behind this argument. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 10:24 pm Post subject: 825 |
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| extro wrote: |
| Again, who here doesn't believe the existence of the FSM is highly unlikely? Or undetectable leprechauns? Why would we say highly unlikely about those, but not about a god?" |
. There's no actual reason to say that undetectable leprechauns are highly unlikely to exist, because there's nothing you can weigh to determine that. The same is true of a god. The reason I'm discussing god is because this an atheism thread, not an aleprechaunist thread. The reason there's no thread entitled "ask about aleprechaunism" is because it's not a cultural issue. My thinking is this:
1. There's no way to weigh the likelihood of undetectable leprechauns existing.
2. No one seems to think there is.
1. There doesn't seem to be a way to weigh the likelihood of a god existing.
2. Some people seem to think there is.
3. Why? |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Sun Jan 20, 2013 10:51 pm Post subject: 826 |
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| The relevant difference between strong atheism and weak atheism to society is the judgment incited about believers. A strong atheist must view the believer as probably living under a delusion. whereas a weak atheist doesn't necessarily have to think that. This affects relationships. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 1:35 am Post subject: 827 |
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| BraveHat wrote: |
| The argument assumes it's unreasonable to automatically place the concept of a god into the "probably not true" status, before saying something about the nature of human belief, particularly about the correlation or lack of correlation between belief and truth value. Premise 2 is a reason to doubt the belief, as opposed to just leaving it an open possibility*. If you think there is no correlation between human belief and truth value, then that's something that can be examined. |
Correlation between human belief and truth value ... certainly such a correlation exists, but it's a complex thing. Many believe in Santa Claus, or countless other things that are false. There are things we know true that few would have thought to ever believe. But yes, there's a positive correlation. I don't think one can make much of a case that the prevalence of belief in a god, coupled with positive correlation between human belief and truth, constitutes reason in favor of believing there is a god. Too many details are being ignored in doing that ... details that would explain why there is belief in something untrue (the nature of mythology & folklore, the fact that contradictory (thus not all true) religious beliefs are propagated by similar means, etc.). |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 2:56 am Post subject: 828 |
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I think I just realized a major distinction that I haven't been making which might clarify a whole lot. As I said, I don't think it's possible to make a case for the unlikelihood of a god existing and neither do I think it possible for the undetectable leprechaun. However, I'm willing to think there may be a case for the unlikelihood of human belief in a god being grounded in truth.
What's the difference between a god existing and a human belief in god being grounded in truth? The latter implies the former, but the former doesn't imply the latter.
Suppose I see a locked suitcase left in the road and I try to unlock it but can't. I'm so curious to find out what's inside that I lie to a locksmith and tell him it's my father's and I lost the combo. He opens it up and we discover it actually does belong to my father. The suitcase was my father's and the locksmith believed it was my father's, but his belief was not grounded in the truth. It was grounded in the content of what I told him, which was true only by coincidence.
So I shelve god's existence among the undetectable leprechauns, flying spaghetti monsters, and celestial teapots as having no way to make a case for it's unlikelihood, but there may be a case for the unlikeliness of human belief in a god to be grounded in truth, and that may be the reasoning behind strong atheism. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 3:15 am Post subject: 829 |
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| extro wrote: |
| Correlation between human belief and truth value ... certainly such a correlation exists, but it's a complex thing. Many believe in Santa Claus, or countless other things that are false. There are things we know true that few would have thought to ever believe. But yes, there's a positive correlation. I don't think one can make much of a case that the prevalence of belief in a god, coupled with positive correlation between human belief and truth, constitutes reason in favor of believing there is a god. Too many details are being ignored in doing that ... details that would explain why there is belief in something untrue (the nature of mythology & folklore, the fact that contradictory (thus not all true) religious beliefs are propagated by similar means, etc.). |
I agree. I think if a case is to be made that belief in a god is unlikely to be grounded in truth, something about that complex correlation must be said. |
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bgg1996
BeeGees are awesome!
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 3:39 am Post subject: 830 |
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| Jedo the Jedi wrote: |
| bgg1996 wrote: |
| I mean to say that because the belief system contained elements that were proven false, the belief system was probably made up, and I don't think it's intelligent to believe in something unlikely when the only evidence for it also supports things that were proven false. |
What elements were "proven false"? I can pick out from your post some of the ones I think you might raise, but it will probably save us time and frustration from talking past each other if you will just list them. |
Any list of false ideas ever included in a major religion would be an in-exhaustive list. Or a very long one.
The first that comes to mind is that the Earth was made thousands, not billions of years ago. Most religions involve their creator creating Earth and the rest of the universe nearly at the same time, and usually creating the stars after the Earth. The story of the creation of life doesn't include evolution.
Many religions held the Earth being flat as a major part of their religion, such as if "four corners of the Earth" was mentioned in the sacred text that a religion holds as true.
There are also the views that diseases, as well as many other things, were caused by demons, that the planets orbited the Earth, and other things that were held to be true by many who believed in the dogma, if not necessarily fundamental to the religion. _________________ The one member below 18 |
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extro...*
Guest
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 3:39 am Post subject: 831 |
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Hmmm ... that got me here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gettier_problem#The_Cow_in_the_Field
and the section after it, Knowledge as justified true belief ...
I think you're saying strong atheists merely dismiss religious belief as not being justified true belief ... that if true, it's a coincidence.
But I think the Occam's Razor thing comes into play too. Assume the least that you need to in order to explain what's observed.
I'm still having a hard time grasping the significant distinction between weak and strong atheism. If the weak atheist is saying god might or might not exist, just like the FSM might or might not, my gut instinct tells me that's like saying god doesn't exist. It sounds like, of amazing things without a shred of evidence for or against, some say "maybe, maybe not", while others say "not", but with little real difference between the two. I don't think strong atheists believe they have proof of non-existence of a god. I think strong atheists would listen to purported new evidence of a god. |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 3:57 am Post subject: 832 |
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| bgg1996 wrote: |
Any list of false ideas ever included in a major religion would be an in-exhaustive list. Or a very long one.
The first that comes to mind is that the Earth was made thousands, not billions of years ago. Most religions involve their creator creating Earth and the rest of the universe nearly at the same time, and usually creating the stars after the Earth. The story of the creation of life doesn't include evolution.
Many religions held the Earth being flat as a major part of their religion, such as if "four corners of the Earth" was mentioned in the sacred text that a religion holds as true.
There are also the views that diseases, as well as many other things, were caused by demons, that the planets orbited the Earth, and other things that were held to be true by many who believed in the dogma, if not necessarily fundamental to the religion. |
As long as we're talking about Christianity...
- The Bible does not say the Earth was made thousands of years ago. Some people might interpret it that way, but that doesn't make it true.
- As Zag has pointed out (perhaps in the Evolutionary Hotseat), the Creation story in Genesis coincides with the steps of evolution. Again, most people don't interpret Creation as precluding evolution, but that doesn't mean such is an invalid interpretation. (I personally have theological problems with evolution as it is presented currently, but that doesn't negate the point.)
- Everybody back then believed the Earth was flat. The authors of the Bible were writing within their own context, so you can hardly expect better of them. It is a testament that most Christians do not persist in this belief. (If you argue that the minority is significant enough to prove your point, I will simply point to the non-Christians who participate in the Flat World Theory.)
- Again, demons and revolution around Earth were products of the social context. They didn't know any better any more than did any other people group at the time.
- Finally, your last statement belies your knowledge of Christianity and the Bible. None, I repeat, none of these "beliefs" are fundamental to the Christian or even Jewish religion.
I ask then, what are "intelligent folks buying into" that astounds you so much? At least so far, you haven't brought up any "elements of the original belief system which have been proven false beyond a shadow of a doubt," namely anything that is germane to the Christian belief system. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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BraveHat
Last of the Daedalians
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 4:47 am Post subject: 833 |
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| extro...* wrote: |
Hmmm ... that got me here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gettier_problem#The_Cow_in_the_Field
and the section after it, Knowledge as justified true belief ...
I think you're saying strong atheists merely dismiss religious belief as not being justified true belief ... that if true, it's a coincidence.
But I think the Occam's Razor thing comes into play too. Assume the least that you need to in order to explain what's observed. |
If the observation is that someone claims a god exists, how would Occam's Razor apply to explain it?
| extro wrote: |
| I'm still having a hard time grasping the significant distinction between weak and strong atheism. If the weak atheist is saying god might or might not exist, just like the FSM might or might not, my gut instinct tells me that's like saying god doesn't exist. |
.
A weak atheist doesn't necessarily "say" anything. A baby is a weak atheist. It just means the person has no positive belief in a god. He or she doesn't or hasn't yet taken a position on it's likelihood. So if someone believes in a god or believes in the FSM, the strong atheist will say they are probably deluded while the weak athiest won't.
| extro wrote: |
| It sounds like, of amazing things without a shred of evidence for or against, some say "maybe, maybe not", while others say "not", but with little real difference between the two. I don't think strong atheists believe they have proof of non-existence of a god. I think strong atheists would listen to purported new evidence of a god. |
Yes, I agree that they would (if they were open-minded, of course. There are always dogmatic people for every world view). I'm not sure what you mean by "real difference", but when you looking at someone as delusional, it is a lot different than looking at them as mysterious. |
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bgg1996
BeeGees are awesome!
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 6:02 am Post subject: 834 |
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| Jedo the Jedi wrote: |
| bgg1996 wrote: |
Any list of false ideas ever included in a major religion would be an in-exhaustive list. Or a very long one.
The first that comes to mind is that the Earth was made thousands, not billions of years ago. Most religions involve their creator creating Earth and the rest of the universe nearly at the same time, and usually creating the stars after the Earth. The story of the creation of life doesn't include evolution.
Many religions held the Earth being flat as a major part of their religion, such as if "four corners of the Earth" was mentioned in the sacred text that a religion holds as true.
There are also the views that diseases, as well as many other things, were caused by demons, that the planets orbited the Earth, and other things that were held to be true by many who believed in the dogma, if not necessarily fundamental to the religion. |
As long as we're talking about Christianity...
- The Bible does not say the Earth was made thousands of years ago. Some people might interpret it that way, but that doesn't make it true. |
I can't say I've read the bible, but from what I have read of it, I don't think the "billions of years" interpretation is what was intended by the authors.
| Quote: |
| - As Zag has pointed out (perhaps in the Evolutionary Hotseat), the Creation story in Genesis coincides with the steps of evolution. Again, most people don't interpret Creation as precluding evolution, but that doesn't mean such is an invalid interpretation. (I personally have theological problems with evolution as it is presented currently, but that doesn't negate the point.) |
I don't think it does. The bible states that god brought forth plants with seeds before any of the "living creatures that moveth," while fish appeared 500 million years before land plants, and billions of years before seeds. I'm sure one could delude themselves into thinking that the Bible referred to Evolution with the book of genesis, but there's no doubt that the author's did not believe in that.
| Quote: |
| - Everybody back then believed the Earth was flat. The authors of the Bible were writing within their own context, so you can hardly expect better of them. It is a testament that most Christians do not persist in this belief. (If you argue that the minority is significant enough to prove your point, I will simply point to the non-Christians who participate in the Flat World Theory.) |
I am referring to those who founded the religion. As I've said, because evolution has been evidenced thoroughly, Christians today generally accept it. Anything that's been proven beyond a shadow of a doubt false isn't fundamental to the religion today, but it was when the religion was founded.
| Quote: |
- Again, demons and revolution around Earth were products of the social context. They didn't know any better any more than did any other people group at the time.
- Finally, your last statement belies your knowledge of Christianity and the Bible. None, I repeat, none of these "beliefs" are fundamental to the Christian or even Jewish religion. |
I don't mean to say that the people back then were idiots for saying things that they couldn't have known, I just think that people today are idiots for believing in a fantastic tale the only evidence of which comes from these people.
| Quote: |
| I ask then, what are "intelligent folks buying into" that astounds you so much? At least so far, you haven't brought up any "elements of the original belief system which have been proven false beyond a shadow of a doubt," namely anything that is germane to the Christian belief system. |
That there is an all-powerful being that watches over all humans on earth, a collection of sentient life forms on a small unimportant rock orbiting an otherwise unremarkable star. That whenever one of these humans dies, an essence of themselves, not bound by physical laws, travels elsewhere to live in either ecstasy if they acted "good," or torture forever if they were "bad." _________________ The one member below 18 |
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Zag
Tired of his old title
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 11:52 am Post subject: 835 |
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| Jedo the Jedi wrote: |
| It is a testament that most Christians do not persist in this belief. (If you argue that the minority is significant enough to prove your point, I will simply point to the non-Christians who participate in the Flat World Theory.) |
You keep saying this, but it just isn't true.
From this study, 45% of Americans reject the notion that evolution best explains the origins of human
life. Even if we discard a third of these as just trolling the pollsters, it tells us that 30% of Americans are stupid. The dominant numbers, here, of people who naysay evolution come from Evangelical Protestants and Historically Black Protestant (churches).
45% of Americans.
45%
The whole Intelligent Design controversy is not just a fringe group in the U.S. It is not a majority, but it is a very significant minority. You comparing them to the Flat Earth Society is completely inaccurate. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 1:36 pm Post subject: 836 |
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| BraveHat wrote: |
| If the observation is that someone claims a god exists, how would Occam's Razor apply to explain it? |
I think a false belief is a much simpler explanation than the notion that this person has a power to know the existence of some extraordinary being that the rest of us can find no objective evidence for. We already know false beliefs exist.
| BraveHat wrote: |
| A weak atheist doesn't necessarily "say" anything. A baby is a weak atheist. It just means the person has no positive belief in a god. He or she doesn't or hasn't yet taken a position on it's likelihood. So if someone believes in a god or believes in the FSM, the strong atheist will say they are probably deluded while the weak athiest won't. |
So both the weak and strong atheists give the notion of a god no more credence than the notion of a FSM. |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 2:12 pm Post subject: 837 |
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Zag, that statement was specifically referring to the fact that most Christians do not persist in the belief that the Earth is flat...
| bgg1996 wrote: |
| I can't say I've read the bible |
That's going to be a problem and add difficulty to our discussion. You'll be spouting a bunch of hearsay (and God knows there's a lot of it), and I'll be correcting it. *sigh*
| Quote: |
| I don't think the "billions of years" interpretation is what was intended by the authors...I'm sure one could delude themselves into thinking that the Bible referred to Evolution with the book of genesis, but there's no doubt that the author's did not believe in that. |
What exactly was intended by the authors? I tried to meet you on your turf, but that apparently didn't work. The fact of the matter is the author(s) of Genesis weren't interested in espousing scientific facts. The Creation story of Genesis was writing about the God Israel was serving. Each step in that account demonstrates the power of God and is a polemic against foreign gods. It goes something like this, "There's a 'god of the waters'? Well Elohim separated the waters and had dominion over them. There's a 'god of the son and a god of the moon'? Elohim is the one who placed them in the sky." Thus, the God of the Jews is greater than the other gods. It is anachronistic to attribute scientific thought to these ancient writings.
| Quote: |
| Anything that's been proven beyond a shadow of a doubt false isn't fundamental to the religion today, but it was when the religion was founded. |
Again, the belief that the Earth was flat was not "fundamental" to the Jewish and Christian faiths. It isn't as if they thought God would cease existing if the world turned out to be otherwise.
| Quote: |
| I don't mean to say that the people back then were idiots for saying things that they couldn't have known, I just think that people today are idiots for believing in a fantastic tale the only evidence of which comes from these people. |
What you seem to be saying is because those people got other things incorrect (Earth being flat and the center of the universe, demons, etc.), they must also be incorrect about God even though the former are products of their culture. That's definitely a non sequitur. What's more, the "only evidence" for this "tale" about God does not come from those ancient people. There has been plenty of evidence down through the ages, you just don't believe any of it regardless of when it happened. That's hardly a point in favor of your argument.
| Quote: |
| That there is an all-powerful being that watches over all humans on earth, a collection of sentient life forms on a small unimportant rock orbiting an otherwise unremarkable star. |
Now that we're to the heart of the matter, the actual fundamentals, we can talk. You are coming from a rational (that means using logic and reason*) mindset, one which analyzes cause and effect and focuses on what can be observed. In our modern context, we usually call this science of some form or another. This path of knowledge and exploration requires evidence to "support or reject"--the proper language as opposed to "prove/disprove"--a premise. People of your mindset** argue that there is no evidence for the existence of God, therefore he does not exist. That's really false.*** It just means nothing yet supports God's existence. By the same token, there is no evidence God does not exist. Ultimately, it's just a philosophical problem, and you are on the disbelieving side of it.
As for your final sentence about souls, that's not what is espoused in the Bible. You are disagreeing with the popular notion of souls and the afterlife, and I side with you in this area. I think that belief is ridiculous.
*I didn't define rational because I think you are dumb, but only to say what the word means when I use it. I'm trying to avoid letting unintended nuances seep in.
**Here I don't mean to delineate between "Christians" and "scientists." They don't have to be distinct. I only mean this delineation in the context of searching for the existence of God.
***The Higgs boson was said to exist years ago, but there is still no concrete evidence for it. That doesn't stop scientists from searching for it and believing it exists. You might say that there is evidence which points in its direction, but Christians would say the same for God. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 2:31 pm Post subject: 838 |
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| Jedo the Jedi wrote: |
| ***The Higgs boson was said to exist years ago, but there is still no concrete evidence for it. That doesn't stop scientists from searching for it and believing it exists. You might say that there is evidence which points in its direction, but Christians would say the same for God. |
I think that analogy will break down rather badly under a little more careful scrutiny. Off the top of my head, I think the higgs boson was a particle postulated to exist (in a world of particles) as a simple explanation for some things observed. Postulating a god isn't a simple explanation for anything. |
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Jedo the Jedi
Paragon in Training
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 2:41 pm Post subject: 839 |
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Thankfully it's not the crux of my argument. Besides, most analogies do break down at some point. _________________ Paragon Tally: 18 mafia, 3 SKs (1 twice), 1 cultist, numerous chat scum...and counting. |
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extropalopakettle
No offense, but....
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Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2013 3:46 pm Post subject: 840 |
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| Jedo the Jedi wrote: |
| ... nothing yet supports God's existence. By the same token, there is no evidence God does not exist. Ultimately, it's just a philosophical problem, ... |
But I really think most strong atheists would concede, if you can really call this a concession, that "sure, in that sense, maybe God and the Flying Spaghetti Monster are having tea together right now ... we can't prove otherwise" (said tea poured from the celestial teapot Bravehat alluded to).
Back to this:
| BraveHat wrote: |
| So I shelve god's existence among the undetectable leprechauns, flying spaghetti monsters, and celestial teapots as having no way to make a case for it's unlikelihood, but there may be a case for the unlikeliness of human belief in a god to be grounded in truth, and that may be the reasoning behind strong atheism. |
I believe there are many strong atheists who would profess that all reasons that people have for believing in a god are invalid. It would be their mistake to take that as evidence for the non-existence of a god. |
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