Guess 2/3 the average. A game/puzzle/experiment - Results!

[dethwing]

First off let me say: I want no comments on this thread. Do not post, do not even say if you're playing. I want to keep everything anonymous and when it is all finished then you can post and discuss the results.

Also, if you're not familiar with this game please refrain from researching (It's fairly well known. I take no credit in inventing it or anything )

To play, all you have to do is submit via PM a number between 0 and 100 [inclusive] to me. The number does not have to have be an integer, or even rational.
Don't send me some weird expression that makes me do a bunch of work to calculate though.

The winner is the person who submits the number closest to 2/3 the average of all the guesses.

In other words, once I have all the guesses I'll take the average [mean] of the guesses, then take 2/3 of that number. Whoever is closest to this number is the winner!

I'll leave this open for a week. Good luck!

[dethwing]

Results up tomorrow, things look interesting.

Thank you for patience and submissions!

[dethwing]

Results!

[Zag]

*scratches head*

[dethwing]

What's confusing you?

[Amb]

Hahaha I put 71. I meant 17

Whoops.

[Chuck]

I think you divided the total choices by 14 instead of 15 to get the wrong average.

[dethwing]

Ugh, apparently it didn't update the average spot as I added that last one. It doesn't change the winner.

[Chuck]

Well, I thought zero would be the logical choice but I allowed for some variation of opinion. I forgot to allow for error and insanity. I wouldn't have won even if Amb had sent 17 instead of 71, but it would have been a lot closer.

[Zag]

I had the same thought, but I figured that the GL crowd was more logical than the average crowd, so I was thinking between 3 and 4. I then picked pi just for the nerd value.

I'm curious to hear the reasoning of anyone who picked anything over 33, which would be the logical answer if all the other contestants were picking completely random numbers from 1 to 100. (... and there were a lot of other contestants -- i.e. more than 100 of them. If there are fewer contestants, then the fact that you've picked less than 50 brings the average down enough to matter.)

[MNOWAX]

i was throwing a wrench into the gears. I kinda knew where this was headed, so i figured it would throw some guesses off.
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MNOWAX

[3iff]

I fugured I would probably be the worst at this...and I would have been if Amb could have typed 17 correctly.

In my defence I did spend all of 5 seconds on my guess.

Question:
Trojan Horse 0 17.75
Dethwing 0 17.754

Did Dethwing pick a lower zero than Trojan Horse?

[dethwing]

No. I was clearing off the decimal points from excel, and missed one accidentally.

[MatthewV]

When using [code] tags, it is easiest to work in a text editing program with a monospace font. If everything lines up there, it will line up in the code tags also.

[Undercover Monk]

for me it was really a WIFOM situation. I decided my guess would be less than 50 right off. but I also thought othre would try to alter the result by picking higher numbers. do I go lower thinking that everyone will be thinking like me or do I adjust figuring we are trying to slit each others throats. LOL so most of you chose logically instead of maniputively. but thats why I chose a higher number
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The Classic Blunders:
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2.Never go in against a Sicilian when DEATH is on the line
3. Never release Peyton Manning