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Occupy Wall Street?
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jesus_saves
Almost Right



PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 4:41 pm    Post subject: 1 Reply with quote

I ve recently started following this movement and frankly, I m intrigued and interested (this is extremely odd for me as I tend to classify myself as apolitical.) Do other folks have thoughts or interest in the movement?

For reference, here's an article that I thought summed up the movement well:
http://www.cnn.com/2011/10/05/opinion/rushkoff-occupy-wall-street/index.html
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JDTAY
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 5:10 pm    Post subject: 2 Reply with quote

Cue Scurra praise in 5, 4, 3...
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Scurra
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 5:47 pm    Post subject: 3 Reply with quote

Laughing
As it's clear I am not apolitical and I am on the progressive side of the political fence then it's fairly likely that I would support this action. Cue no surprise from anyone.

What I find interesting is that a lot of the arguments they are articulating are exactly the same as many of the ones seemingly promoted by the Tea Party movement (exposing corrupt government and business practise, supporting the principle of citizen democracy, demanding openness etc.)
The curious bit is that each "side" has a very different idea about what this will lead to...
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Pablo
Never Draws a Blank



PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 6:03 pm    Post subject: 4 Reply with quote

Very insightful, Scurra.

No, seriously, I think that's an insightful observation.
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Undercover Monk
Professor Chaos



PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 6:51 pm    Post subject: 5 Reply with quote

Wait you mean that people dont want corrupt govt. or business.


AND want to support the ideals of Democracy.




HOLD THE PHONE!!!! elect these people at once.



Seriously when reading item like these on a groups platform my eyes glaze over. Its like saying you dont think puppies should be tortured. Or that cat videos on the internet make you smile (Cmon you know they do Laughing )


People In a very general sense all want te same thing. The problem is we have very different ideas on how to accomplish those feats. Its the same reason ethical deabtes on whether the ends justify the means are meaningless. We all want the same ends it is the means that we argue about.


How many politicians want to shrink the deficit, lower unemployment, and promote the growth of the economy. How many truly corrupt businessmen and politicians are there really? A lot less than is being represented in these protests.
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 7:41 pm    Post subject: 6 Reply with quote

Undercover Monk wrote:

How many politicians want to shrink the deficit, lower unemployment, and promote the growth of the economy. How many truly corrupt businessmen and politicians are there really? A lot less than is being represented in these protests.


And you know this....how?
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 8:11 pm    Post subject: 7 Reply with quote

Undercover Monk wrote:
People In a very general sense all want te same thing.


I think this is what they are saying. (hence the 99% aspect.) And the problem they are identifying is that people aren t getting 'the thing' that people generally want (per your statement above). So something about the way we do things now needs to change.

That's my understanding of the movement. Not sure why you are so [offended/annoyed/condescending/scoffing/chooseyourfavorite] of them speaking up about wanting change to reach 'the thing' they want.
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 9:09 pm    Post subject: 8 Reply with quote

I think the most important thing about Occupy Wall Street is that it proves that there really is a well defined conflict with two sides, and that ceaseless capitulation to the finance industry is going to be met with concerted public outcry.
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2011 11:17 pm    Post subject: 9 Reply with quote

Gomez* wrote:
I think the most important thing about Occupy Wall Street is that it proves that there really is a well defined conflict with two sides, and that ceaseless capitulation to the finance industry is going to be met with concerted public outcry.


Well, there you go. I was just thinking that the "conflict" was poorly defined and while the protesters all want to feel they are not being screwed by special interests and power players, they really aren't sure of who it is they are protesting. Is it the bankers? The lobbyists? The legislators? Furthermore, I'm not sure they are unified in who their allies are..... public sector unions? Private sector workers?

But I'm not disagreeing with you, Gomez. Every time I do, I end up regretting it. So.... I agree with you, but I just have a different perception of this issue....but in general I think we're on the same page, just maybe opposite sides of it....in a good, agreement kind of way.
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Death Mage
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2011 2:39 am    Post subject: 10 Reply with quote

I know the person attempting to organize the local protest for Saturday.

I, personally, don't see what they plan on accomplishing. The end result of this will be nothing. At all. There will be zero change. I don't even know what they're TRYING to change, but it doesn't matter. Protesting Wall St.? Why? What possible outcome to you expect to achieve?

This is just a bunch of people who are mad about SOMETHING trying to vent their frustrations at whatever the closest continent target happens to be. Tea Party 2 this ain't.

[Edit] In fact, this whole thing just strikes me as a pushed story. There's no substance here, but it's being reported all over the place. I'm inclined to believe that the Left-wing media is clinging onto this as something to hype up as a "liberal Tea Party", to try to counter all the publicity they got. Someone, somewhere, said "this is our answer!" and has been shoving this story to the forefront. Which, of course, makes a lot of other people want to latch on to it.
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Undercover Monk
Professor Chaos



PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2011 3:36 am    Post subject: 11 Reply with quote

I would say scoffing fits best j*s.

My point was these people are mad about something that is part of the human condition. Socialism doesnt work there will always be haves and have-nots. The beautiful thing about capitalism is the ablity to move from one group to the other.

I never understood why it is the problem of the rich that there are the poor. Why should only the rich receive tax increases. To punish them for their ingenuity or their parents ingenuity. It just never made any sense for me. And before you start calling me elitest let me tell you I work a minimum wage job at McDonalds to help to get me through school.
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Scurra
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2011 9:15 pm    Post subject: 12 Reply with quote

In the end, I think the argument isn't that there are rich people. It's that there is no reasonable explanation for why the rich people are rich, other than the sheer randomness of capitalism. And in that case we might as well just replace everything with a lottery.

I do not believe that the argument is that there will always be the haves and the have-nots either. I believe that the argument is that the haves should pay attention to the have-nots, rather than pretend that they do not exist or, worse, suggest that they do not deserve to be haves. The horror of capitalism isn't the ability to move from one group to the other, it's that it is built on promoting the idea that travel is only one way. Yes, the American Dream is that anyone can become President. But it's worth noting that that means that 307,006,549* can't. No, obviously I am not suggesting that everyone should be President. I just think it illustrates the basic principle of capitalism that in order for there to be one winner there have to be a helluva lot of losers rather well.
*using the figure that Google gave me for the US population. Although I realise that it isn't necessarily a helpful one.

To suggest that the rich deserve recognition for their "ingenuity" (or, worse, their parents') is, to me, a massive affront to all those who work just as hard all their lives and are rewarded with a declining living standard, as is demonstrably true over the past 30 years. As opposed to the fact that the number of billionaires in the world has apparently actually increased in the period 2008-2010...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/a-breakdown-of-trust/2011/10/07/gIQAVCjrSL_blog.html
(and I would recommend the link to http://wearethe99percent.tumblr.com/ as well. But not for people who think that "this is just a bunch of people who are mad about SOMETHING trying to vent their frustrations at whatever the closest continent target happens to be.")


Oh, and I too worked a minimum wage job (not McDonald's but an equivalent) during college too. And what it taught me was to respect those people and to wonder why the company was so terrified of them having union rights. That had quite a big influence on my political beliefs. But, as usual, that's a whole different argument...
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Death Mage
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2011 10:08 pm    Post subject: 13 Reply with quote

Bill Gates donated billions to charity. He built a company that helped revolutionize global business by standardizing major computing.

Wal-Mart collects and donates hundreds of millions for charities every year. They have raised the standard of living for people all over America by offering a wider selection of lower-priced products than has been available before.

Steve Jobs is not listed on in major charity - no noticeable investments. He made a fortune creating a business that locked out competition - they would not allow anyone else to build hardware for them etc. - and in selling variants of products that had existed before for years, just putting them in a pretty shell.

One of these is considered a hero to the "underprivileged"


F*** the "Occupy Wall Street" protests. They are filled with ignorance. It has nothing to do with "giving back", or any of that bullshit. It's just people hating who they've been brainwashed to hate.
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Scurra
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2011 11:17 pm    Post subject: 14 Reply with quote

Death Mage wrote:
F*** the "Occupy Wall Street" protests. They are filled with ignorance. It has nothing to do with "giving back", or any of that bullshit. It's just people hating who they've been brainwashed to hate.
The weird part of that post is that I agree to some extent with your examples.
But this last bit strikes me as incredibly insulting. I presume you are willing to extend this opinion to everyone? If I say that the Tea Party people also hate who they've been brainwashed to hate, would you agree with me? (Actually, I suspect that you might!)
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JohnnyFake*
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 12:12 am    Post subject: 15 Reply with quote

The anger, IMO, is not oriented against capitalism. The vast majority of Americans understand capitalism is the best social system.

What people are pissed about is that we operate under a capitalist system while the large banks do not. Failure is essential for capitalism to work; but the banks have been saved from their failures through illegitimate loans from the taxpayers via friends in government. You may not think that the bailouts from years ago are the issue today. But, many people have experienced the failure aspect of capitalism over the past three years (foreclosures, unemployment, etc.). The discomfort of this makes the bank bailouts taste that much more bitter. Plus books like Grifftopia (currently reading), have provided the citizenry with a better understanding of how badly they were fleeced.
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Undercover Monk
Professor Chaos



PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 3:19 am    Post subject: 16 Reply with quote

@scurra

Of course there has to be losers for their to be a winner. The Declaration of Independence never said sucess was a basic human right. It said life, liberty, and the PURSUIT of happieness. No where in any of our most beloved national documents does it say that everyone gets what they want. Only that they are given the opportunity to try.

How much the rich should give to the poor is a moral and religious issue not a political one. If I ever become a billionaire (not gonna happen but lets say it does) I would want that money to go to my children. Its my money I earned it why is it wrong for me to want to ensure a happy life for those who come after me. Isnt that what everyone from the poorest bum to the richest fat cat is trying to do.

And are you really telling me that efforts of Bill Gates and myself are equal just cause I work hard to pay my way through school. Luck and fate have little to do with the bigger picture in life. Choices are what drives success and failure. I chose to mess around my first few years in college and as a result lost my scholarship. Thats on me. If you invested in wall street and lost everything well you knew that was a risk you were taking (or at least should have known)
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Pablo
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 3:51 am    Post subject: 17 Reply with quote

Scurra wrote:
In the end, I think the argument isn't that there are rich people. It's that there is no reasonable explanation for why the rich people are rich, other than the sheer randomness of capitalism. And in that case we might as well just replace everything with a lottery.



Some would argue that capitalism has little to do with "sheer randomness" and much more to do with creativeness, ambition, persistence, leadership, willingness to take risk, dedication..... It's a system where the individual is only limited by himself or herself, where your success is potentially unlimited if you are willing to commit to it. I believe firmly in capitalism and I believe firmly that randomness has very little to do with pure capitalism.

What we see in the U.S. right now....the system that depends on lobbying corrupt politicians for legislation that favors those with special interests.... well, that's NOT capitalism. A system where special interests can get rich by succeeding OR failing.....again, NOT capitalism.
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Pablo
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 3:57 am    Post subject: 18 Reply with quote

Undercover Monk wrote:
@scurra



How much the rich should give to the poor is a moral and religious issue not a political one. If I ever become a billionaire (not gonna happen but lets say it does) I would want that money to go to my children. Its my money I earned it why is it wrong for me to want to ensure a happy life for those who come after me. Isnt that what everyone from the poorest bum to the richest fat cat is trying to do.



I'm not a billionaire either, but what I do have.....I plan to spend to enjoy retirement. I don't care if I leave a dollar to my kids. They can earn theirs the same way I earned mine. That's what I've taught them and they seem fine with it. At least to my face. Felicitous

But I don't even think rich giving to poor is a moral or religious issue. I think it's nothing more than a personal choice and no rich person is obligated in any way to do so. If they do, hats off to them...and a big thank you. If they don't, it's not a negative reflection.
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 4:02 am    Post subject: 19 Reply with quote

Also, the mobs who are now demonstrating have no clue what they are doing. They are angry, frustrated, etc. But there is no consensus there as to what the issues are, either the problems or the solutions. If they think Wall St is the cause of their misery, they are REALLY on the wrong track and even if they....um........"succeed" (whatever the hell that means in this case) their problems will remain. They have no message other than................

WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

But it's hard to disagree with them. Surprised
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 5:33 am    Post subject: 20 Reply with quote

Pablo wrote:
Also, the mobs who are now demonstrating have no clue what they are doing. They are angry, frustrated, etc. But there is no consensus there as to what the issues are, either the problems or the solutions. If they think Wall St is the cause of their misery, they are REALLY on the wrong track and even if they....um........"succeed" (whatever the hell that means in this case) their problems will remain. They have no message other than................

WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

But it's hard to disagree with them. Surprised


I'm stumped as to why it's our* job to present solutions to fix everything. I thought that's why we had elections.

I work nights, so I don't see much news anymore, but my feeling was that, while they didn't know how to fix it (why should they?) they're at least showing that they're fed up. It's not perfect (and, lets be honest, it certainly won't get anything done) but it's a start.

Me personally? I'm sick of being classified as worthless because I don't make a lot of money, and struggle for things. I actually get a double dose of the worthless classification (I'm destroying the country! Oh no!), because I work in education. I make less than 15K/year. I've managed to put a sizable bit this year into savings and I have no debt. Yet, the feeling among some in power seems to be that I'm a leech, and I'm not doing my part and am destroying the country, and if I would just give up those SS benefits that I'm paying for (but still pay for them) and that unemployment insurance, and accept a higher tax rate, then all of our problems are fixed! It scares the crap out of me.

And I'm also being told, if I don't like it, then, if I would just work harder, and be better, it wouldn't be a problem, so it's all my fault. I'm not saying I need things handed to me, but damn, I'm barely getting by without assistance as it is, I just don't know how much more I can take before I just don't have any hope or shot at success.

But what recourse do I have? My vote (and I do vote) doesn't really count under the electoral college. I certainly don't even come close to having the money to run for office myself. Until recently, it seemed that my only course of action was to keep my head down, keep working, and maybe, just maybe, not end up homeless and dying in the street in lieu of retirement. We'll see.
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Antrax
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 6:23 am    Post subject: 21 Reply with quote

Can anyone succinctly explain what this is about? The link in the first post was pretty incomprehensible to me. Is there a factual article or can anyone give a factual explanation of what this is?
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 6:55 am    Post subject: 22 Reply with quote

Antrax wrote:
Can anyone succinctly explain what this is about? The link in the first post was pretty incomprehensible to me. Is there a factual article or can anyone give a factual explanation of what this is?


People got fed up with stuff (bank bailouts, Corporate person-hood, <insert whatever here>). Somehow the Ocuppy Wall Street movement started. It was Snakes On a Plane style simple: Stage a massive sit-in on Wall Street. It grew fairly large, and now there are mirror protests all over the US (Occupy San Francisco, Occupy Washington DC, etc). Since it was never a large, concerted effort, there isn't one clear overriding goal or set of demands from the protestors.

As a result some in the government, large corporations and banks, and media outlets have branded them as worthless hippies and ridiculed the lack of one single message. It seems to me that they (not the protestors) are going "But whatever are you upset about? If you would just tell us! I mean, we honestly have no idea!" in a super sarcastic tone. All the while expecting everybody else to present solutions to Congress, when Congress themselves has shown that they're completely incompetent in nearly every way, and don't actually care about solutions anyway.

Some congressmen and media outlets have expressed a fear that this would lead to an "Arab Spring in the US." I found it intriguing that they used that choice of words.
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 7:01 am    Post subject: 23 Reply with quote

Or, perhaps this version might make more sense, as this is all hard to explain.

Mad We're pissed off! Here are some things pissing us off!
Melancholy Also I'm pissed off about these things!
Dispirited And these things!
Crying or Very sad And these other things!

Revenge most foul! All of those things? Really? You can't be upset about all of those things! That's stupid! If you were a REAL protest, you would only be pissed off about a small number of things, and then you would present those grievances to us in a single, organized matter. Then you would go away after a weekend, and we would go back to ignoring you. Oh, and by the way, we know you're not serious, because you didn't give us magical plans to fix everything, thus doing our jobs for us. Now run along, while people with money go back to getting more money.
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Antrax
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 8:40 am    Post subject: 24 Reply with quote

Not sure what a corporate person-hood is, but why protest bailouts in Wall Street? Isn't this a government decision?
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Death Mage
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 11:41 am    Post subject: 25 Reply with quote

No no no. Government is perfect. Government is clean and pure as the wind-driven snow. Any problems with government are caused by those evil, greedy corporations that are bullying those poor, innocent congressmen into doing things they really don't want to do.
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 11:54 am    Post subject: 26 Reply with quote

Antrax wrote:

Not sure what a corporate person-hood is...


Corporate Personhood.

Antrax wrote:

but why protest bailouts in Wall Street? Isn't this a government decision?


It was more like a government Morton's fork. The government had the choice of either (a) spending hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars propping up the banks, or (b) letting the crisis drag the U.S. economy into depression. The blame for the bailouts rests entirely with the banks, whose reckless gambling precipitated the entire crisis.

That said, I doubt that the Occupy Wall Street movement is especially concerned with the bailouts per se. After all, the money has been largely repaid, and the program is on course to cost a "mere" $30 billion, which is relatively small potatoes in the context of the Federal budget. The Occupy Wall Street movement, as I understand it, is more concerned with:

(a) Corporate irresponsibility, and the widespread perception that those at the top consider themselves to be "untouchable".

(b) Corporate personhood, and the widespread perception that the U.S. Government is effectively "bought and paid for" by corporate special interests.

(c) The continuing lack of regulation in the derivatives market which caused this whole mess in the first place.

(d) The massive, and exponentially increasing, gap between the rich and the poor, as well as right-wing class warfare against the poor and lower-middle class.
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 12:00 pm    Post subject: 27 Reply with quote

Thanks Gomez. I must say I consider your viewpoint strange, but I think it's fascinating we have practically the same movement here, more or less - at least a, b, and d would be also be described by the average Israeli as problems with current-day Israel.
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 12:34 pm    Post subject: 28 Reply with quote

Now now now, before you get too excited about jumping on the "banks are bad" bandwagon, let us not forget that it was, and still largely is, government regulations (you know, C on Gomez's little list there) that have made it harder and harder for banks to deny bad loans. They don't want to be seen as discriminating against people who can't pay them back, after all.
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Pablo
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 1:03 pm    Post subject: 29 Reply with quote

Gomez* wrote:


It was more like a government Morton's fork. The government had the choice of either (a) spending hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars propping up the banks, or (b) letting the crisis drag the U.S. economy into depression. The blame for the bailouts rests entirely with the banks, whose reckless gambling precipitated the entire crisis.





Yeah, the government just woke up one day and there was that Morton's fork staring them in the face. How were they ever to see it coming?

I mean, with all that power, you'd think government would at least be able to foresee this problem, if not prevent it. Maybe we need even bigger and more powerful government so that next time they'll be able to do something to avoid Morton's fork. Of course, that means higher taxes, right? After all, we need someone who is powerful enough to stand up to these banks, and if not government, then who?
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 2:55 pm    Post subject: 30 Reply with quote

Death Mage wrote:
Now now now, before you get too excited about jumping on the "banks are bad" bandwagon, let us not forget that it was, and still largely is, government regulations (you know, C on Gomez's little list there) that have made it harder and harder for banks to deny bad loans. They don't want to be seen as discriminating against people who can't pay them back, after all.
And this is arguably true whilst also being largely irrelevant.
The "bad mortgages" bit amounted to a very small percentage of the overall crisis (I don't know - maybe you don't accept this?)
What the banks (and now the hedge funds) do is to develop new ways of creating credit as regulation is introduced that closes down old ways (normally because the old way broke the system in some fashion) which restricts their ability to generate profit for their shareholders.
This time they came up with the idea of "stripping and bundling" which meant that it was very hard for the rating agencies to disentangle exactly what was being sold and on the whole they took the assurances of the people selling said bundles that they were all rock-solid - and it is entirely possible that the vendors did believe they were rock-solid, although I have to say that the bundling technique does look rather suspicious to me...
Meanwhile other things were happening that were also not being regulated - for instance, the ability to trade financial instruments in nanoseconds. Again, these were tools that were not available to everyone, which inevitably unbalances a notionally free market. Indeed there is circumstantial evidence of times where transactions could be described as insider trading because in the time between a "real person" beginning a trade and it concluding, the automatic computer systems have been able to buy and sell many times over.
Pablo wrote:
Yeah, the government just woke up one day and there was that Morton's fork staring them in the face. How were they ever to see it coming?

Government has an inherent and growing problem which is that while it is generally agreed that some regulation is needed within a system in order to prevent systemic abuse, said regulation can rarely predict the problems ahead. And even if it does, the time it takes to implement means that either the problem explodes anyway, or the "smart money" moves on to something else. Not to mention that trying to figure out which warnings of potential catastrophe have meaning and which are fantasies isn't obvious either. (And that's without going into the whole "poachers turned gamekeepers turned poachers" issue which is dangerously prevalent in the financial sector, although it's not as though other areas are immune to that.)

Oh, and as for regulations making it harder to "deny loans"? That's kind of like the endless and pointless argument about the extension of the term "marriage". I don't recall any government banking regulation that compelled anyone to do anything. (Again, I may be wrong on this.) It was surely the repealing of certain banking regulations that led to the current outbreak of casino banking, not its introduction?
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Jack_Ian
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 3:11 pm    Post subject: 31 Reply with quote

Now it's global, well international at least.
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Zag
Tired of his old title



PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 3:53 pm    Post subject: 32 Reply with quote

If this is too long for you, just skip to the last two paragraphs.

Scurra wrote:

This time they came up with the idea of "stripping and bundling" which meant that it was very hard for the rating agencies to disentangle exactly what was being sold and on the whole they took the assurances of the people selling said bundles that they were all rock-solid - and it is entirely possible that the vendors did believe they were rock-solid, although I have to say that the bundling technique does look rather suspicious to me.

Actually, the concept of bundling is a sound one. The problem is not with the bundling, but with criminally-bad incentives put in place by the financial companies which led to quasi-legal fraud.

Consider that you are a private investor and decide (for whatever reason) to purchase mortgages as your investment. Say you have enough cash free to purchase 5 mortgages of $200k each that are rated by a reliable rating source to be 1% chance per year of defaulting, and they earn 7% interest. Your $1 million will probably be worth $1.07 million at the end of the year. Unless you get unlucky and one of the mortgages defaults, in which case they are worth $0.86 million. (You've lost 14%.) So you have (roughly) 95% chance to gain 7%, but a 5% chance to lose 14%, for an overall expected value of 5.95% gain. You deem this (that is, the 5.95%) to be an acceptable level of gain, but the risk is too high.

However, suppose a hundred like-minded investors got together and bought (together) 500 of these mortgages, agreeing to split the profit equally. Well, now the risk has gone way down -- you are expecting to see 5 defaults across the whole group, but the profit from all the other makes up for it. Even if you get equally as unlucky as the first guy investing on his own, rather than lose 14% it means you will only earn 5% instead of the 5.95% you were expecting.

That was the concept of bundling. With enough similar-risk mortgages wrapped together, you can much more accurately predict the profit from the group. It's a little like actuarial science. They can predict remarkably accurately what the average age-at-death will be for American men who are 40 years old right now. However, they can't predict the age-at-death for one of them well at all.

The problem arose when companies got greedy (as they are always wont to do). They had an expanding market for these bundles, so they started pressing on their suppliers of mortgages to make more of them. The connection between the person writing the mortgage and the results of the actual mortgage itself was lost through the bundling. With heavy incentives to sell more bundles, the big banks buying up the mortgages gave more and more of a wink and a nod to the mortgage companies. After all, they knew that THEY wouldn't be caught holding the bag. They were just going to sell the mortgages down to smaller investors.

The ratings organization determining the likely default rate were, of course, controlled by the big banks. After all, they USED to be the ones who cared about whether or not the predicted default rates were accurate. Now, however, they wanted the good ratings so that they could sell the bundles at a big profit. They wanted more mortgages to sell, so they pressured the ratings agency to relax their standards of checking. After all, if someone SAYS he makes $200,000 per year, that's good enough, we don't have time to check all his records like we used to do. And so on.

So these packages which were supposed to be a bundle of mortgages predicted to be a 1% default rate, were actually closer to 3%. But the fraud didn't stop there! Recognizing that the bundles had a fair bit of crap in them, the big banks yanked out the worst looking garbage (the variable-rate interest-only with a big balloon payment mortgages) and rebundled those. Why did they do this? Well, they had a lot of their OWN money in the other bundles.

Then they sold these new bundles, admitting that they were pretty crappy, but they still lied about the risk. After all, if they said the truth, no one would buy them. Now, it was all "legal" because they had the ratings for all those mortgages. Mostly they knew that the ratings were garbage, but their asses were covered legally. Some of the worst criminals were busy hyping these new bundles to their private investors which getting all their personal money out of them. Ever see the movie Boiler Room?

What they failed to realize was that when these new bundles crashed, as they knew they would, it rippled out and destroyed the entire housing market. All those defaults of the mortgages that never should have been written in the first place flooded the market with cheap houses. People who had bought questionable mortgages but were barely able to hang on now were upside-down. If they had to move for their job, they couldn't because they couldn't sell the house they owned without having to bring money to the closing. Also, construction jobs dried up completely, causing more people to lose their houses, if that was their primary income.

When you prop up any market artificially (as they had been doing for years now), when the props fail it crashes hard, falling deeper than it would have been at that point without the props. Let me remind you that this was NOT caused by government regulation; this was caused by greedy investment companies who had figured out a new scam they could play on their investors. Don't believe the trolls who claim that anyone forced them to write bad mortgages. They begged the mortgage companies to write more mortgages, and started turning a blind eye to their quality.

I saw it coming by the simple fact that I got mortgages in 1986 (which was difficult to get, they vetted my income carefully), 1995 (quite a bit easier -- they did check my income, but the mortgage company kept encouraging me to spend more, since he claimed my income could afford it), and 2003 (I filled out he paperwork, was given a cursory glance over my financials, and given a mortgage).
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Gomez*
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 6:38 pm    Post subject: 33 Reply with quote

Death Mage wrote:

Now now now, before you get too excited about jumping on the "banks are bad" bandwagon, let us not forget that it was, and still largely is, government regulations (you know, C on Gomez's little list there) that have made it harder and harder for banks to deny bad loans. They don't want to be seen as discriminating against people who can't pay them back, after all.


You're talking arrant nonsense. There is no way you can possibly justify these claims.

Pablo wrote:

I mean, with all that power, you'd think government would at least be able to foresee this problem, if not prevent it.


I'm with you 100%. The trouble was, unfortunately, that everyone who understood how these derivatives were contrived and marketed already worked for the big banks. By this time, regulation had been stripped to the point where Wall Street was pretty much self-regulating. The government had been shoehorned into a purely reactive role. Besides, it's not like there was any real political will to challenge the banks' figures and place them under greater scrutiny. Not while times were good and the campaign contributions kept rolling in. In my opinion, government was to blame for the crisis only to the extent that they allowed the banks to operate with impunity.

Pablo wrote:

Maybe we need even bigger and more powerful government so that next time they'll be able to do something to avoid Morton's fork. Of course, that means higher taxes, right? After all, we need someone who is powerful enough to stand up to these banks, and if not government, then who?


I absolutely 100% believe that we need a bigger, and more powerful government. In fact, I believe it's the only way to avoid a similar crash in the future. Wall Street has proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that it cannot be trusted to regulate itself. I recently learned that, in the months prior to the collapse of Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch was lending $40.00 for ever $1.00 they held in their vaults. In the past, when regulation was more robust - and here I'm thinking of the Glass-Steagall act in particular - Merrill could never have gotten away with anything close to that level of recklessness.

The banks need to be reined in. They need to be forced by law to hold enough collateral in their vaults to cover their bets. The rules must be rewritten to ensure that when corrupt CEO's like Dick Fuld and Lloyd Blankfein play fast and loose with SEC regulations, they can't buy their way out of prison with a paltry fine. Most importantly, they must be made to understand that under no circumstances will they ever, ever be bailed out again.

JohnnyFake wrote:

Plus books like Grifftopia (currently reading), have provided the citizenry with a better understanding of how badly they were fleeced.


Great book Felicitous The chapter on Goldman will blow your mind.
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 6:49 pm    Post subject: 34 Reply with quote

Did I say "blow your mind?" I meant "Make you want to kill someone".
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 6:58 pm    Post subject: 35 Reply with quote

http://www.deathandtaxesmag.com/149476/ben-jerrys-becomes-first-high-profile-company-to-support-occupy-wall-street/
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Pablo
Never Draws a Blank



PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 7:42 pm    Post subject: 36 Reply with quote

Gomez* wrote:




I absolutely 100% believe that we need a bigger, and more powerful government.


Confused Laughing Surprised Oh, Jiminy Oh, Jiminy Evil or Very Mad Confused Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 7:55 pm    Post subject: 37 Reply with quote

Pablo wrote:

Confused Laughing Surprised Oh, Jiminy Oh, Jiminy Evil or Very Mad Confused Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad


Yup Felicitous
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Zag
Tired of his old title



PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 7:59 pm    Post subject: 38 Reply with quote

Given that the idea of banks being regulated is never going to help, because it is hopeless in reality. The government shouldn't try, other than SEC continuing to prevent insider trading (or trying to), and cracking down on outright fraud. This quasi-fraud perpetrated by the big banks is not something regulation could ever have hoped to catch, so there's no point in trying. Some of the later stages of it were, in fact, outright fraud and should have been prosecuted, but the earlier stages were not. In fact, at first, it was really a good idea, as I described in my tome above.

Instead, the government should do their primary purpose in regulating business: trust-busting. We should never be in a position of any couple of corporations being "too big to fail" such that bailing them out is something that we would consider. If that's the case, then they obviously represent a monopoly and we should break them up before it gets to that.

BTW, if anyone here wants to argue that government should NOT be involved in trust-busting, please don't bother. I won't take the bait. I'll just preempt your argument by telling you to go read a history book or two. Start with a biography of Teddy Roosevelt, which is an entertaining read, anyway, and will get you started.
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DM via phone w/ no kb*
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 8:11 pm    Post subject: 39 Reply with quote

Yea, because banks are always so eager to give out money without being concerned about getting paid back.
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Pablo
Never Draws a Blank



PostPosted: Mon Oct 10, 2011 8:24 pm    Post subject: 40 Reply with quote

Zag, here's a thought.....just a thought, not a fact. Not even a theorem. OK? You don't need to crank up your devil's advocate overdrive right off....maybe just let it sink in for a while, chew it, digest it, and then, who knows? Maybe you'll puke it out, but maybe it will be absorbed into your system and help you grow. Or, maybe it will just go through....... well, just think about it:

It is just maybe possible that no company could ever become "too big to fail" without government assistance, i.e. favorable legislation or favorable court rulings, or without government no-bid contracts, all of which can be and are secured by lobbyists.

Secondly, maybe the power of "trust busting" is just another tool in the wrong hands. The power to limit or bring down corporations is a huge power, and who's going to oversee the government to assure that it's being applied appropriately? Here's a hint......."no one".
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